I only quoted the first image, the one from mmo-population.comHow do you know for certain?
What one it was two separate sites.
The image you posted shows they estimate Elite Dangerous has 14m total players, yet FDev themselves say 12m total (4m paid copies and 8m free Epic copies).
6 months ago, the same website incorrectly said Elite had 12m total players when the total was around 4m: http://web.archive.org/web/20201001132557/https://mmo-population.com/r/elitedangerous
It gets similar stats very wrong for other games, for example claiming Star Citizen has 12m total and 716k daily players when CIG publicly say 3m total (1.2m paid) and 30k daily players.
Incorrect website is incorrect.