The Watcher- Marvel, reminds me of all of us. Largely - none of us can do much about the stuff we are monitoring.
The situation in Russia is starting to look potentially like the Delta outbreak in India, with consequences for all of us.
BBC
ran a piece on Russian state of affairs:
More than 1,000 people are dying each day across the country, with a total of more than 220,000 deaths so far. These are record numbers for Russia, making it the worst-hit in Europe.
Reliability of those numbers are suspect, no matter what Putin says on TV. So it's likely worse.
Considering the impact that the Russian disinformation vs vaccines has had in the West...
Unfortunately, it's not
specific Karma. It's a virus, not Divine Justice.
Doctors in Vologda are also shocked by the scale of anti-vaccination sentiment in the region, highlighting how those opposed to vaccination are putting elderly and vulnerable members of their families and relatives at risk.
Those citizens did nothing to anyone.
It's estimated that only 31% are vaccinated over there. But wait, there's more:
As Moscow's mayor announced non-essential services to close between October 28 and November 7 in Russia's capital, reports said a new coronavirus variant had emerged which may be more contagious than Delta.
Russia's RIA news agency quoted a researcher as saying that AY.4.2 variant could spread widely leading to an increase in the number of coronavirus cases.
The share of analyzed sequences in the preceding two weeks that correspond to each variant group. This share may not reflect the complete breakdown of cases since only a fraction of all cases are sequenced.
ourworldindata.org
Delta prevalence is at 100% in Russia right now. The sub-variant is included.
- Winter
- Unvaccinated Population, skeptical of authorities
- Overloaded Hospitals
- New, hypercontagious variant
- Major Travel Hub, with no restriction on Travel
So we have everything we need to get a resurgence worldwide right here.
The good news is that the sub-variant is already in Europe, but failing to compete effectively right now. So I'm not too worried about AY.4.2 (unless I catch it!) posing a danger.
Delta Plus is
a starting point in this situation in Russia. At the moment, it isn't competing well with Delta in Europe because of a high level of vaccination there, impeding spread, and favoring the most transmissible version.
But massive transmission through unvaccinated hosts in close contact for the next 4 to 6 months is likely to give us the next big problem. Delta Plus has the conditions to infect enough people to mutate, improve, and out compete its Daddy. It would be wise to initiate a diplomatic move to get some better trusted foreign vaccines into Russia now. Unlike India, the population is small enough to make a difference, and we have better vaccine supply now.
Unfortunately like the Watcher- none of us can get that done.
.
