1. No Power Faction will ever get wiped out.
Likely, certainly. I think the exception might be if a Power got knocked down to just its HQ (or something similarly pitiful) and Frontier's internal stats showed this was because it didn't
have any active CMDRs to speak of. But I would hope in the long term the balance point is such that a Power
with measurable active CMDRs could never find itself in that situation anyway - things like the distance affecting difficulty would be in their favour but against their opponent(s).
2. Similar to Thargoid Invasion, It would take Decades.
- I haven't done the math, but I suspect fully taking over the bubble would take enormous time.
Aisling Duval is doing better than the Thargoids, admittedly.
They're so far gaining about 75 net systems per week, which is as much as the Thargoids ever managed - but Duval is, unlike them, only focusing on the inhabited systems.
Time to takeover of entire bubble at that rate: about 250 weeks or five years.
Obviously at some point that should slow down a lot as they'll need to kick existing Powers out of systems rather than just picking up the easy ones ... but still, they're making a good start on it. It's nowhere as theoretical a possibility as it was for the Thargoids...
but some AD players are starting to push into friendly power's territories.
It says "Enemy" in-game and given Duval's position who else are they going to attack if they want more systems?
Those old treaties I very much doubt will last for long.