General / Off-Topic Stock analysis of Elite Dangerous for FDEV and the impact of Odyssey

Stelar 7

Stelar 7
Just for anyone even a little considering FDEV stock, never, ever look at just the short term perspectus. Anything publicly traded will have history you can find with Google.

Based on the 5 year, I wish I'd known to buy four years ago. Then again I rarely trade single company stocks.

SmartSelect_20210616-194820_Google.jpg
 

Chaparral

Chaparral
Moral of the story is buy FDEV in 12/22 because the stock will be so badly tanked after Odyssey that you can make a killing when Warhammer 40K comes out in 2023.

Then dump FDEV almost immediately (within 10 days) after the release of Warmhammer 40K because it will be a burning trash heap buggy mess.
 

TheSisko

TheSisko
Stelar 7 said:
Just for anyone even a little considering FDEV stock, never, ever look at just the short term perspectus. Anything publicly traded will have history you can find with Google.

Based on the 5 year, I wish I'd known to buy four years ago. Then again I rarely trade single company stocks.

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I'm mainly a funds man myself, with a couple of direct share ownerships here and there. I'm ready to 'buy the dip' when/if certain opportunities present themselves, but every time I even consider buying shares in FDEV I just think of the Odyssey debacle and think "I don't trust them to deliver."
 

Mogen Teras

M
TheSisko said:
I'm mainly a funds man myself, with a couple of direct share ownerships here and there. I'm ready to 'buy the dip' when/if certain opportunities present themselves, but every time I even consider buying shares in FDEV I just think of the Odyssey debacle and think "I don't trust them to deliver."
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I think he's arguing that 2021 is a good time to invest because they are at a relative low, and are projected to go up once the public forgets about EDO.
 

Pigletslastand

Pigletslastand
No the big expected dip is to come in FY2022 when/if they miss their projections of 140-160m. That (If it happens) will be the time to buy but before they release the warhammer and F1 games in FY 2023. Of course they could manage to pull a blinder and exceed expectations. Therein lies the rub! It is telling though that longer term investment companies are strengthening their positions.
 

TheSisko

TheSisko
Mogen Teras said:
I think he's arguing that 2021 is a good time to invest because they are at a relative low, and are projected to go up once the public forgets about EDO.
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I won't forget EDO. That for me is a failure at a project management level, a complete misreading of what their customers asked for.

If they can do that with EDO then I have little trust they won't do that with F1 or Warhammer.
 
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Stelar 7

Stelar 7
TheSisko said:
I'm mainly a funds man myself, with a couple of direct share ownerships here and there. I'm ready to 'buy the dip' when/if certain opportunities present themselves, but every time I even consider buying shares in FDEV I just think of the Odyssey debacle and think "I don't trust them to deliver."
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I mean I hold almost exclusively Mutual funds and thats my preferred buy, still get growth and one execs bad call can't crush my bottom line.
 

VR jefranklin18

VR jefranklin18
TheSisko said:
I won't forget EDO. That for me is a failure at a project management level, a complete misreading of what their customers asked for.

If they can do that with EDO then I have little trust they won't do that with F1 or Warhammer.
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Agreed it is a complete misreading. However their Chief "Creative" Officer has said he doesn't give a rat's about ED (mocking Braben during FX17 as "the only one of us interested in space") so I can't see that breeding a positive culture towards it.
 

hems303

hems303
Stelar 7 said:
Just for anyone even a little considering FDEV stock, never, ever look at just the short term perspectus. Anything publicly traded will have history you can find with Google.

Based on the 5 year, I wish I'd known to buy four years ago. Then again I rarely trade single company stocks.

View attachment 241088
Click to expand...
I did invest when FDEV first launched on the AIM and I've just dumped the lot.... so from my perspective it's a case of 'blow-you-Jack-I'm-alright'. My sell decision (thru broker) was entirely sparked by the mis-launch of Odyssey and just where 'I' thought things are headed. :unsure:
 
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