Do you think that after this the number of ships bought with ARXs will not drop?
After 2025? I'm not sure. What I'd like to see though – what seems essential – is that we end up with a good-sized roster of moderately balanced ships, with plenty of player choice. A lot of people have pointed out that we're losing that at the moment because some of the new ships are creating obsolescence of old favourites.
I think the only fix for this is refreshing older ships at some point. It'd be a bad idea to make a "Mk 2" of everything though, as that'd just lead to cluttered names and worsen the confusion about ships like the Python Mk 2 and Viper Mk IV. Instead, just make new versions of old ships with the same names,
renaming the old ones to put the model date in the name and taking them off the market. This process would be vastly easier for FDev than making new ships because it's just a small spec bump to the same model, but if they put in a bit more dev time to make new ship kits they'd raise revenue at the same time.
My ideal world is that they keep releasing new ships once a quarter until the end of 2027, but refresh old ships at about twice the pace (starting with underperformers like the Asp Scout and Beluga). That'd mean 11 new ships by Christmas 2027, and 22 refreshed ships. They've got 36 total ships to refresh (I'm not including the Cobra 3 or 4), so the remaining 14 could come by about 2029. That'd mean in 2029 we have 52 ships and they're all SCO-optimised and competitive. The meta would shake up repeatedly during that time – e.g. we'd think back to the year that the Federal Assault Ship had been refreshed but not the Chieftain, and we flew FASs again.
Compromise world? Sure, they release the 3 ships slated for 2025 and then stop with new ships, and start refreshing ships in 2026 at whatever pace. But if they do refreshes once per quarter from 2026 then they won't finish until 2035.
And in the worst world, 3 new ships in 2025 and then nothing, the meta is going to permanently warp around e.g. Corsairs, Mandalays and Panther-Clippers, with a lot of old favourites being squeezed out forever. And in that world, having Python pilots need to sacrifice an optional internal slot to get SCO optimisation just isn't going to cut it when loyalty to the brand is the only thing that'd keep them from jumping ship to a Corsair.