Yes, "The Dukes of Mikunn" already got out around 2500 Ly from the (old) rim of the bubble as per yersterday. As far as I could observe they are colonizing some 7-12 Systems DAILY! If they can keep that speed they´ll be able to imperialize Colonia in 6-8 Month.
Yesterday alone they managed to spread from M20 Sector EH-A b15-1 to Smojue EM-Y c3 - netting another 85 Ly in a Day....
It's taken them 5 months to get 2500 LY, and they need to go a minimum of 22,000 (but slightly longer because they're going via Lagoon) to get to Colonia, so that suggests at
least four years to get there, if that happened to be their aim.
They're adding 7-12 systems to their faction daily, yes, but that's because they've created a massively useful chain of systems that many other people are branching off or settling near and generally not changing the faction ownership. Most of that 7-12 system effort isn't going "forwards" on the main project, which is advancing at closer to two or three systems a day. (Still an impressively fast rate to keep up long-term)
I'd like Never. Not really slow. Not next time they find an exploit. Not theoretically possible. Just never. Powerplay and colonisation leak out and negatively impact other gameplay loops. It's nice to be able to avoid them both when you want to now that the bubble is wrecked.
In practical terms, it might as well be "never" for Powerplay.
- the 10 LY/week speed limit is an absolute one. There's no way to exploit around that even if you find a way to get a million control points in ten seconds.
- looking at Spansh, the fastest possible actual route would take about 1375 hops of 20LY or less
- each of which takes at least two weeks (one to Acquire the system, one to Fortify it to let it Acquire the next one)
- so that's 2750 weeks or 52 years as the absolute theoretical minimum
- and no-one's actually started on this yet, for obvious reasons, so that's 52 years from at least next week.
Sure, Frontier might change things in the next 50 years - a decade ago Colonia didn't exist at all. But the fraction of the current player base who will still be a) alive and b) playing Elite Dangerous in 52 years must be very close to zero.