Conflict is starting and influence levels are different ?

Hello all,
Up to now I always saw that conflicts started when 2 factions reached the same level of influence. During conflict phase they both stay at an equal level of influence until the end of it.
2 days ago, a conflict started in one of our systems and I see on Inara that the influence curve have crossed. At day one of the conflict the attackers are 3% above the defender's.
Is it normal ? I've never seen this before.
Thank you for your answers
 
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It's caused by states with inherent influence loss, such as Outbreak, Famine, Terrorist Attack, Infrastructure Failure, Natural Disaster etc.
 
Thank you, I didn't know this.

However this does not seem to be the case in our system

2021-07-18 10_13_25-Window.jpg

I looked for a case you mention and in the example below we have a "normal" (?) influence balance.

2021-07-18 10_13_06-Window.jpg
So ... ?
 
The likely thing is that the influence-changing states ran out. There's data available for 16 july, but the previous data point is on 12 july, so we have a 4-day gap in information.
 
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