As some of you may know I'm a little bit of a spreadsheet junkie, and I've had the pleasure of digging through the raw data provided by FDev for cycle 14. Interesting stuff (no, seriously), and my only gripe is that this isn't something that is automatically made available to everyone with the raw end of cycle data when the cycle has just ticked over.
However - something rather odd popped out at me when looking through the data.
Aisling Duval's players only prepped two systems. I don't mean "they had two systems on their top ten list, I mean they only put preparation merits into two systems.
This is quite unusual. To put it into perspective, Sirius was in turmoil, and their players put merits into three systems.
You might think "they only had 27 CC to spend", but that's not a good explanation either. Looking through the data for previous cycles, when Aisling Duval was in turmoil the first time, her players put preparation merits into six systems, and the cycle after that one (still in turmoil) it was 21 systems.
And it's not a handful of merits either. Sirius put 975 merits into three systems in cycle 14 - Aisling's players put 7,099 merits into those two systems. And keep in mind, this is a power whose organized players lament their preparation grinders - so where were they this cycle? Where did all the people who put merits into random systems all over the map go this cycle?
No matter how I look at the data, Aisling Duval's preparations for cycle 14 stand out as a huge anomaly.
Merits per system, merits/CC, cc/system prepped, the result is the same - cycle 14 is an anomaly that I cannot explain. In fact, there are only two other times that non-turmoil powers have prepped 10 or fewer systems. Patreus in cycle 11 (8 CC, prepped 0 systems) and Torval in cycle 10 (80 CC, prepped 10 systems). In fact, Aisling put 3,550 merits/system into preps this cycle. This number has only been surpassed twice in 9 cycles (that's 90 samples) - ALD in cycle 12 with 10,938 merits/system into 15 systems and Aisling in cycle 13 with 5,215 merits/system into 15 systems
It doesn't matter for the outcome of cycle 14, as Aisling Duval couldn't afford any systems, no matter what she had prepped, as she only had 27 CC - but it matters because it is suspect.
Either the data we were given to analyse was incorrect/incomplete, or something extremely unlikely happened in cycle 14, and I'm very curious as to which it is.
However - something rather odd popped out at me when looking through the data.
Aisling Duval's players only prepped two systems. I don't mean "they had two systems on their top ten list, I mean they only put preparation merits into two systems.
This is quite unusual. To put it into perspective, Sirius was in turmoil, and their players put merits into three systems.
You might think "they only had 27 CC to spend", but that's not a good explanation either. Looking through the data for previous cycles, when Aisling Duval was in turmoil the first time, her players put preparation merits into six systems, and the cycle after that one (still in turmoil) it was 21 systems.
And it's not a handful of merits either. Sirius put 975 merits into three systems in cycle 14 - Aisling's players put 7,099 merits into those two systems. And keep in mind, this is a power whose organized players lament their preparation grinders - so where were they this cycle? Where did all the people who put merits into random systems all over the map go this cycle?
No matter how I look at the data, Aisling Duval's preparations for cycle 14 stand out as a huge anomaly.
Merits per system, merits/CC, cc/system prepped, the result is the same - cycle 14 is an anomaly that I cannot explain. In fact, there are only two other times that non-turmoil powers have prepped 10 or fewer systems. Patreus in cycle 11 (8 CC, prepped 0 systems) and Torval in cycle 10 (80 CC, prepped 10 systems). In fact, Aisling put 3,550 merits/system into preps this cycle. This number has only been surpassed twice in 9 cycles (that's 90 samples) - ALD in cycle 12 with 10,938 merits/system into 15 systems and Aisling in cycle 13 with 5,215 merits/system into 15 systems
It doesn't matter for the outcome of cycle 14, as Aisling Duval couldn't afford any systems, no matter what she had prepped, as she only had 27 CC - but it matters because it is suspect.
Either the data we were given to analyse was incorrect/incomplete, or something extremely unlikely happened in cycle 14, and I'm very curious as to which it is.
