Expansion, how to make it succeed?

How would one assure an expansion is successful? Also, is there a way to tell which system the faction is attempting to expand into? Lastly, what happens when a very remote faction, I.e, like in Robigo or Hind mines etc, tries to expand?
 
So if a remote system tries to expand it goes into investment. I.E. it is beyond the range of expanding which is roughly 30 or so LY. If it is under that it can expand.

To insure the expansion is successful you have to do a lot of missions and support the faction. I don't know the exact specifics but normally that helps. As far as knowing which system they are trying to expand to, you would either have to check by eyeball within those 30 LY or use a tool like EDDB.

* I am not an expert in the BGS but there are experts out there hopefully they will contact you with 100% true information.
 
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I've been under the impression that once a faction goes into Expansion state it will not fail to expand unless there isn't a system with an open faction slot in range. I've never seen it fail.
 
I believe the local news feeds in the faction's home star system now usually has a procedurally-generated article saying where the Expansion is being aimed at.

If a faction is physically incapable of Expansion, either because it is physically isolated from other star systems or because it is situated in very crowded space where all of the stars within range are already "full", then The Expansion triggers the Investment state, after which the expansion radius is extended for a further 5 LY in all directions. Then, next time Expansion is triggered, if there are still no further suitable targets for Expansion within the extended range, the Investment cycle repeats until a suitable Expansion target system is found.
 
I've been under the impression that once a faction goes into Expansion state it will not fail to expand unless there isn't a system with an open faction slot in range. I've never seen it fail.
On the money. Pushing it to the point that it goes pending - around 75% - is really the only thing that need be done. Just this week I watched a faction start pending expansion (at 76%) and then fall to 52% before the expansion went active 5 days later. It proceeded as normal. There's essentially no way to stop or help an expansion once it's gone pending that I know of.

Helping the faction during expansion is another matter. A faction will lose a significant amount of influence during the active Expansion state, which could cause problems if you don't do any work for them.

Edit: The newsfeeds will tell you where the expansion is coming from (helpful if they're in more than one system), but not where its going until the active state is complete.

Edit2: While there have been reported exceptions, 99% of the time in the bubble you can predict where the expansion is going. Closest system with less than 7 factions that the expanding faction doesn't already exist in. Done & done.
 
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