With all due respect Patrick my friend, expert predictions lead to the 2008 crisis.
At the end of the day, people can't pay more than they can afford any more than they can eat gold.
In a competitive market like gaming, if Frontier adopts this attitude then they are finished.
There are experienced players (in terms of business) out there and they will dive in if they see there is a market. That is the nature of the beast.
Frontier's only hope is continual improvement, and not treating its user base like they don't matter.
Some of the releases planned for the summer, for example, boast graphics which are so much better than Elite. Elite can only hope to compete if it can offer something more.
Much more.
So far, Horizons, good though it is, is not going to cut it. ED needs to be much more than an updated version of ED on the Beeb which is all it really is so far.
share prices are determined by the market and not review scores and negative forum threads
They are just like share prices, or MIPS, or pints of milk, or pairs of boots made, or rifles issued.
A completely meaningless abstract measure of something not necessarily tangible or material, that may or may not be important to some people, yet holds concrete meaning for some others. In the grand scheme of things (i.e thermodynamics) it's completely pointless.
A Flimley sounds like a fine measurement for a something though
Observer A: "Look over there, there's something in the woods!"
Observer B: "Really? How many Flimleys is it?"
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That's a sill thing to say, as an ex-dev who left the games industry for the safer world of enterprise software (after the studio I worked for closed) I can tell you that we cared a lot about our metacritic score. Reviews affect sales sharply and that is the market.
It looks like your post agreed with what I said, which makes your first sentence difficult to follow. If they adopt the stance where they have to release real content in order to have enough to offer that they don't get crushed by competitors in the future they're finished?
I didn't say that secs don't care about review scores, and to clarify - the market I referred to is the stock market rather than the sales market. Sorry if I wasn't clear.