After a few weeks of stability, this Cycle we've seen an overall drop in activity, both support and opposition. This is mostly because of some pretty significant drop in Empire and Federation activity. The Alliance has picked up some of the slack, in both respects, but overall the numbers are lower. I don't want to speculate too much about the reasons, but turmoil issues certainly paid a big part - we've never had as many Powers in turmoil as we did this week.
Just speculation, but maybe the reason for reduced "opposition" activity is utter boredom with endless and nonsensical killing of postal workers? As for the drop in "support" activity that's answered easily enough. The only faction that had an alarmingly high ratio of support was the one faction who's PP module was't total garbage. I mean, no sane person would continue to "fortify" once they've bought the rank that gives them the best reward. And the rewards for support are so much lower and so much duller than declaring a pogrom on enemy FedEx truck drivers.
They have doubled the rewards for killing UPS men, so PP will get a short lived boost. But with the dull mechanic of fortification getting a huge nerf, the larger power will find that their undermining will be impossible to resist, so the Federation is basically doomed to become a minor player, unless FD intervenes (which of course they will). Once the Federation is being run by NPCs under the control of FD, the Empire will lose interest and turn their focus on Civil War. Once that is resolved the remaining independent powers will start dropping like flies. The player population will consolidate into the factions that offer the best and most consistent activity based rewards, until we are left with ALD and the Alliance.
And the Thargoids!
Of course, FD will promote new factions as old ones die off, and give them awesome new tech to promote interest and that will last until the modules are ubiquitous. After a while, PP will be generally ignored by the vast majority of players and it will then be retired to the background sim and galnet updates. At which point hopefully the background sim will be mature enough to take on the role that the current PP drama is attempting.