Like pretty much all people on this forum, I want the game to succeed. Today was the first time I've played anything other than the combat scenarios. Ignoring the bugs, I think in the public beta we have finally gotten a good feel of the game. To me it feels much more brutal than I expected. More cold. I don't mean that in a negative way though. Space in this game feels somewhat realistic. So it should be cold and unforgiving and desolate.
Currently I feel like the game has a steep learning curve, you almost need to know what you're doing before you start playing. Plus there are a lot of keys. I have a 12 button joystick and still I have to use keyboard buttons too. That feels very old school. Most modern games do a lot of hand holding early on. This is beta of course, so we will have to see whether this comes later. I do feel they could stand to make the game somewhat more accessible in the early stages. For example a set of missions to complete that introduces you to the key aspects of the game.
Anyway, will the game succeed or fail? To me the game has a lot of potential. They more or less just need to add: the rest of the galaxy, more ships, missions and mining and I will be happy. I'd call that feature complete but there are probably other things planned too.
If they can wrestle the bugs out of the system then yes I think they will be on a winner. As long as it is profitable for Frontier and can sustain them sufficiently to bring some expansions I think we can deem it a success.