"Transmission not sent; Unable to connect to *CMDR*" - reactivation.

Interestingly enough, this started to happen quite a lot at release for me.
Cannot connect with Chat until we've been in the same systems / quit the game including launcher and reconnected - jumped out and back in again.
Late Beta / Gamma quite stable.

Been using both methods;
- Static port forwarding (NAT)
- UPnP
However, quitting the game (including launcher) and starting it again seems to be the most common factor for solving the connection regardless of using Static vs UPnP. I have to do this when I change the AppConfig.xml. Sometimes I just leave it unchanged to verify.
I've got some ~20 people on my list, and none can be reached. They also states that they have the same issue quite often - until we relaunch the game and do 1-2 jumps.

Components
- MS Windows 8.1 / Win-defender. No other third party AV/FW.

Anyway, perhaps it's time to do a bit of wireshark to see whats going on.

@Udayana - sorry I don't see the same messages in my verbose logs (no hits in my verbose logs, one week of logs).
I have the same problem with one of my friends. Text chat always failed with "Transmission not sent...", i have verbose logging on and spotted this in the log:
Code:
{17:11:37} IJoinSession:Talk: 0x000000024bd21eb6: 109.47.70.83:64335 x 265 Name Unknown
{17:12:07} FailToJoinSession1: 0x000000024bd21eb6: at 30.0s : 109.47.109.112:55882 x 4 # Name Unknown
{17:12:08} Machine 109.47.109.112:55882 x 3 # Name Unknown disconnected: Unable to establish connection with SYNC
{17:17:49} machines=2&numturnlinks=0&backlogtotal=0&backlogma x=0&avgsrtt=183&loss=0.000&&jit=0.270&act1=39.040& act2=1.110
{17:18:19} FailToJoinSession1: 0x000000024bd21eb6: at 30.0s : 109.47.109.112:55882 x 4 # Name Unknown
{17:18:19} Machine 109.47.109.112:55882 x 3 # Name Unknown disconnected: Unable to establish connection with SYNC
{17:27:49} machines=2&numturnlinks=0&backlogtotal=0&backlogma x=0&avgsrtt=183&loss=0.000&&jit=0.149&act1=41.269& act2=0.989
{17:37:49} machines=2&numturnlinks=0&backlogtotal=0&backlogma x=0&avgsrtt=240&loss=0.000&&jit=0.104&act1=40.707& act2=1.006
{17:41:16} FailToJoinSession1: 0x000000024bd21eb6: at 30.1s : 109.47.109.112:55882 x 4 # Name Unknown
{17:41:16} Machine 109.47.109.112:55882 x 3 # Name Unknown disconnected: Unable to establish connection with SYNC
{17:45:26} FailToJoinSession1: 0x000000024bd21eb6: at 30.0s : 109.47.109.112:1027 x 4 # Name Unknown
{17:45:26} Machine 109.47.109.112:1027 x 3 # Name Unknown disconnected: Unable to establish connection with SYNC
{17:47:49} machines=2&numturnlinks=0&backlogtotal=0&backlogma x=0&avgsrtt=181&loss=0.000&&jit=0.080&act1=44.315& act2=0.917
{17:48:32} FailToJoinSession1: 0x000000024bd21eb6: at 30.0s : 109.47.109.112:1027 x 4 # Name Unknown
{17:48:32} Machine 109.47.109.112:1027 x 3 # Name Unknown disconnected: Unable to establish connection with SYNC
{17:50:21} FailToJoinSession1: 0x000000024bd21eb6: at 30.0s : 109.47.109.112:1027 x 4 # Name Unknown
{17:50:21} Machine 109.47.109.112:1027 x 3 # Name Unknown disconnected: Unable to establish connection with SYNC
{17:50:59} Machine 109.47.109.112:1027 x 3 Name Unknown disconnected: Unable to establish connection with SYNC
{17:57:49} machines=2&numturnlinks=0&backlogtotal=0&backlogma x=0&avgsrtt=189&loss=0.000&&jit=0.065&act1=51.138

Note: my friends IP is the one with .112 on the end (don't bother checking the ip, we change it every time while re-dial DSL)

And with other commanders in vicinity @ SC, text chat worked. And there's no SYNC error. Whatever that means.
Need FD to clarify what "Unable to establish connection with SYNC" means. We have disabled all firewall, use DMZ to allow all ports to be redirected to the sole computer. Tried with uPnP on/off, port forwarding. Nothing helps..

I'm going to try to let him use my network since he's here now and going to post an update how it went here.
 
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so i did the port forwarding stuff and all but i cant send messages to certain/random ppl and they cant send messages to me?!
 
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