Didn't know you needed my point of view on some subjects... Which points do you want me to respond ?
Game Discussions Star Citizen Discussion Thread v12
- Thread starter Yaffle
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So I decided to do a line by line expenses report forecast, and this is what I came up with:
So, the line by line seems to be a lot more kinder to CIG, but also a lot more off, than the straight up annual total expenses prediction...
The line-by-line total+ "projected" 2019 expenses was -8,852k under the actual 2019 reported. That's a 0.8743 under-reporting of actual, or rather a 15.8%/0.1575% margin of error. On average, the difference between the line-by-line predicted expenses of 2019 and the actual 2019 reported was a 24% under-reporting by the model. Here's a chart of the distance from 1 each calculation was:
For comparison, the straight up EoY total+ 2019 expenses "projection" was 72,991k, or +2,560k over the the actual 2019 reported. That's a 0.045582118 difference, or 5% rounded up.
What does this mean? As best I can tell, this means that there are more "event" based expenses that contribute to CIG's overall expenses, than there are gradual "linear" expenses.
We'll have to wait and see what events cost CIG money in 2020... next year.
All number values in thousands (1,000). Note: Contracted GDC was calculated with 2017-8-9 for 2020-1 projections, and 2017-8 for 2019 projection. Same with Capex & Invest. The reason for this was to avoid a negative number outcome (meaning negative expenses in an expense report).
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So, the line by line seems to be a lot more kinder to CIG, but also a lot more off, than the straight up annual total expenses prediction...
The line-by-line total+ "projected" 2019 expenses was -8,852k under the actual 2019 reported. That's a 0.8743 under-reporting of actual, or rather a 15.8%/0.1575% margin of error. On average, the difference between the line-by-line predicted expenses of 2019 and the actual 2019 reported was a 24% under-reporting by the model. Here's a chart of the distance from 1 each calculation was:
For comparison, the straight up EoY total+ 2019 expenses "projection" was 72,991k, or +2,560k over the the actual 2019 reported. That's a 0.045582118 difference, or 5% rounded up.
What does this mean? As best I can tell, this means that there are more "event" based expenses that contribute to CIG's overall expenses, than there are gradual "linear" expenses.
We'll have to wait and see what events cost CIG money in 2020... next year.
Case in point. I couldn't have gotten a better illustration if I asked for it.
My prediction. CIG will get more money than ever.
SC and SQ42 will still be a long way off, but early days!
I don't want it to end, mainly as what else will entertain me, Mexican soap opera as SC is? SC is a fixture now, I'd be lost without it.
My personal take on your posts.
I do feel like people are overly hostile to your posts, but on the other hand, how you make the posts, it really does seem like you are being paid to promote SC.
I don't mean this personally against you, but there is a pattern we've seen year after year. A fan of the game appears, and proceeds to make post after post with videos of "cool" stuff in SC or make posts about what a wonderful time they are having in SC. Note, never are there unedited videos of themselves having a good time, always posts from someone else. Naturually those posts seem highly curated.
If you look at Sovapid (well, don't, he's ugly, but pretend) he at least posts his own content. What you see with his videos is what you can actually get.
With you, you seemingly wave away or ignore anything negative about the project and just love posting things that show SC in a good light.
Even in the best of circumstances this is not representative of the true state of the game. Hell, even take released games, ones that are not bashed like Cyberpunk, and you will see even fans posting videos of bugs and problems. You will see fans criticizing the developer.
Look at the ED forums, the amount of criticism.
This isn't because ED is a bad game per se. Its just absoloutely normal for forums.
You know what would happen on any forum if someone just kept posting videos and posts about how great a game is? They would get called out for it and be called a fanboy. A white knight. A deluded idiot.
So, when you make posts like you do, there should be no surprise when you get treated like you would on any gaming forum, outside of echo chambers.
Looking at it, either you are being paid by CIG to post on skeptical forums (and maybe elsewhere) to promote SC. In which case, you're doing a terrible job. The first step would be to ensure that the community accept you as being honest (this is Mole's tactic! One day we will all be flying Prospectors!). On the other hand, you are just a fan (and this is what we have to assume) but one who isn't "reading the room".
If you want to post videos of the great things CIG are doing, without criticism, then this is the wrong forum.
If you want to post videos of the great things CIG are dong but are cool with being bashed over it, then carrry on my wayward son.
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Don't worry. We can still pretend FD will do something with powerplay one day
They will, slowly and grudgingly. But which one?
Take a look at Mole's post. Mole is Star Citisn't most terrible fan. But I love him. Because I believe he's authentic. And when he says he likes the refinery stuff I give credit to that.
What about people who only post bug videos and how terrible the game is? Are they also deluded idiots?
Nah, they are just paid for FD to make CIG look bad.
What if one was true and the other not?
A good label would probably be “closer to reality”.
That’s a bit too black and white for my taste
I've just seen a typical post saying CIG can take as long as they need.
I'd love to see a chart of people who think this way plotted against their age.
I can imagine it would start of low at a young age, young people being somewhat impatient, rising quicking in the 20s, when it seems like you have ages ahead of you, then dropping off in the 40s, when people start to understand that they are not going to live forever, and by the sixties, people getting downright nervous.
I'd love to see a chart of people who think this way plotted against their age.
I can imagine it would start of low at a young age, young people being somewhat impatient, rising quicking in the 20s, when it seems like you have ages ahead of you, then dropping off in the 40s, when people start to understand that they are not going to live forever, and by the sixties, people getting downright nervous.
That torpedo interception was a thing in X-Wing. In 1993.
That explains why it was in WC3 as well.
Come to think of it, I seem to recall something like that in one of the earlier WCs as well (but I might be mixing it up), in which case it must have been around in Battlehawks too since that's where CRobber stole his early game design “ideas” from.
And this is why it is important not to do drugs.
How is a posted video "not true"?
What is "not true" about this recent example of a posted video: