Change to system states for support missions?

Since U15, it appears - at least to me - that the system states that lead to support missions seems to have changed. It used to be those according to the post by the good @metatheurgist here:


... but now it no longer seems to hold true. Am I missing something or is anyone else seeing this too?
 
Apologies for bumping my own (slightly dated) thread here but what are the "rules" for systems with support missions now? Any ideas? Still seeing this - just wnet to a "civil unrest" system/station (which is usually a staple for these) but fhey were all AWOL.
 
Faction states rather than system states but as far as I can tell it still seems accurate. You have something specific?
Did the faction in question actually own any settlements in system?
 
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