Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3, Soontill, Thargoids and Guardians. Rumours, evidence and implications.

With the Thargoids providing everyone with a reminder about Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3 (Courtesy of Factabulous, see https://forums.frontier.co.uk/showt...r-IR-W-D1-55?p=6785694&viewfull=1#post6785694) I thought it would be a good time to provide an update on some investigations into the system and some possible implications.

I posted a shot from my EDDi map slightly later in that thread, but given it's lack of clarity I'll explain further here.

With Col 70 locked, what's actually at Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3 isn't known, but for quite a while I've been looking at what might be inferred.

Although still unable to make any strong inferences about what's in the system, other things have emerged and it's those aspects that I'll elaborate here.

I've taken a shot from Canonn maps and drawn on key systems to illustrate things better:

ktsbbCy.jpg

The key thing I'd like to highlight is the positions of Soontill and Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3, what's between them and the possible implications of it.


Firstly some background.


Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3 and the Col 70 Sector

- One of the pieces of data transmitted by the Thargoid Probe is distance from Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3. This is in units where 1 = the distance from Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3 to Merope. This was worked out by Cmdr Wace back in 2016 / 3302. 1

- Possibly unrelated but prior to that Cmdr Genar-Hofoen had discovered an antenna at a Dark Wheel base which appeared to be permanently orientated towards Col 70.2

- Col 70 Sector is locked by an Unknown Permit.

- Col 70 Sector is roughly a 1,000 ly diameter sphere, and although everything that is named a Col 70 system is locked, there are unlocked regions within.

- This results in there being a 'wall' of Col 70 Sector systems.

- The wall is about 180 - 200 ly thick at Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3

- The 2 main ways to access the unlocked regions within Col 70 are by crossing from Synuefe to Witchhead Sector (where the Col 70 wall is only 20 - 30 ly thick) or around the back via Col 69 Sector and Barnards Loop.

- There's a 3rd way in which I found, which is a Neutron Star jump which goes almost directly through Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3. See:

HkmPnC8.jpg

- Despite Col 70 being Unknown Permit locked, Wreaken construction are known to be operating therein3

- There are reports that the Col 70 Sector wasn't locked in 3300.

This all strongly implies that some people know full well what is at Col Sector 70 FY-N C21-3, but independent cmdrs are being locked off from it. That leaves the very obvious questions of who is responsible and why.

Efforts have been made by cmdrs to force the release of this information, but these are yet to yield any results.4,5


Soontill

- Soontill 1 is rumoured to have been the site of a base of the Circle of Independent Elite Pilots (a splinter group of The Dark Wheel).

- It's rumoured that it was the site of a joint Human-Thargoid project.

Yzv5bMp.jpg

- It's also rumoured that Soontill was the site of a Thargoid R&D base which was lost to the Thargoids, and that the advanced Thargoid technology that had been developed there was used by the CIEP.

- It's rumoured that the base was deliberately destroyed using a weapon developed there following a conflict between the CIEP, remnants of INRA, and another group. This is rumoured to have penetrated the planet's crust and resulted in an outflow of lava covering the area.

- The description of Soontill reported by survivors of that conflict doesn't fully match the known Soontill system.

- Soontill 1 does have an unusual feature visible from space which might be a match to the described base destruction:

mHwWkDw.jpg

- Soontill was apparently mentioned by the Thargoids sometime around 3250 6.

- An auction of Soontill Relics around 3280 was apparently found to have been selling fakes7.

- A new wave of Soontill Relics started hitting the markets in early 3301 7

- Soontill Relics are described as "A slab of unidentified material covered in pictographs of an unknown origin."

- Analysis of those relics was reported to have shown that they could not have been of human origin, but did not fully match with known Thargoid materials 6.

The relics not being a full match with known Thargoid material does indicate there could be some truth to the rumour of Soontill being a Thargoid R&D site which the Thargoids had lost contact with, as this could explain the nature of the material. It's also interesting to note that humanity apparently heard of Soontill from the Thargoids around 2850, which certainly has some bearing on rumours that there has been ongoing contact and possibly some collaboration between the Thargoids and some members of humanity. It also raises an interesting question about why the Thargoids would mention Soontill to humanity, and what bearing that might have on current Thargoid activities.

A big question of course, is how could the Thargoids have lost contact with an advanced R&D site.


The Guardian connection

- Discovered logs from an expedition into Guardian space lead by Professor Melville showed that the Professor had hypothesised that the Guardians had been forced to migrate from an area roughly the size of the bubble 8.

- The logs also indicated that the first site found by independent cmdrs, at Synuefe XR-H D11-102, had been at the edge of Guardian territory, and that sites appeared in denser clusters the deeper into Guardian space that they were 8.

Based on the clustering/density of sites it was possible to estimate a rough centre of Guardian territory.

Based on that I calculated something notable - Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3 was slightly closer to the apparent centre of Guardian space than Synuefe XR-H D11-102.

(This remains the case now that the Regor Sector has emerged as the apparent centre of Guardian space. Distances from Regor are 730 ly and 750 ly respectively.)

At the time that raised the possibility that there was some crossover between Guardian - Thargoid areas of space / areas of interest, but the permit lock meant this couldn't be confirmed, and no Guardian sites have been reported near to Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3.

However, what has been established subsequently is a correlation between Braintrees and Guardian space:

- All suitable bodies within 70-100ly of an Ancient Ruin have braintrees.

The exception to this is a large area within Synuefe and Wregoe where Braintrees have been found, but despite searching no Ancient Ruins have been found.

In late October last year, I set out on a search for Braintrees in the vicinity of Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3, and immediately found them on the border of Col 70, only 106 ly from Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3 9.

I've subsequently been able to find an even closer site, Synuefe IH-T d4-14 at 93 ly from Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3.

What I've been able to further confirm is:

- The braintree area spreads for a considerable area over the Col 70 border

- There don't seem to be braintrees on the interior border within the unlocked regions within Col 70

- Hence there is an edge to the braintree field somewhere within Col 70 in the vicinity of Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3.

It had been established that the Guardian Ruins were the Ruins left from the second Guardian civil war that had lead to the extinction of their species, rather than an inter-species war.

Therefore given that there was an area of space with braintrees but no Guardian Ruins and the crossover of that with a notable Thargoid related system, there was an implication that the area of space without Ruins might have been the result of a Guardian - Thargoid conflict.

The Guardian - Thargoid conflict hypothesis has since been strongly reinforced by discoveries from logs in the more recently discovered Guardian Sites. These describe a conflict in which the Guardians withdrew from an area of space before then defeating the Thargoids, and then subsequently collapsing into civil war 10.




The Soontill implications

Returning to the image shown at the start:

ktsbbCy.jpg

And the following which shows a line of sight roughly from Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3 to Synuefe XR-H D11-102 (the dark blue dot within the light blue oval):

TFR6HKW.jpg

There are several key things which can be noted:

- There is a huge region which sits between Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3 and Soontill with braintrees but no Guardian ruins

- Synuefe XR-H D11-102 is almost on a direct line between Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3 and Soontill. (It is very close in the x-z plane, but a little bit above the line in the y-plane)

So, there appears to have been a huge conflict between the Guardians and the Thargoids that took place in the area of space between Soontill and Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3, which the Thargoids ultimately lost, but even more significantly, even thought the Guardians had withdrawn from a large amount of that space, the territory they didn't withdraw from still intercepted the space between Soontill and Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3, towards Soontill itself.

So, there we have it. A set of in game evidence that gives a plausible indication of what could have caused Soontill to have been lost to the Thargoids.

There's still lots of details missing of course, but it certainly supports the idea that Soontill could have been a lost Thargoid site.

It also leaves open many questions, particularly regarding the rumours that it was the Thargoids who told humanity about Soontill, and of course the ongoing question of what is actually at Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3 and why we independent cmdrs are being denied that knowledge.


References:

Credits & Acknowledgements (where known):

Most of this is very much standing on the shoulders of giants. Many many people have contributed to aspects over the years. Some particular ones are:

Those at Canonn who produce the maps. (And Canonn in general for many things.)
Genar-Hofoen - For finding the The Dark Wheel base with the Antenna fixed on Col 70
Cmdr Wace - For decoding the reference to Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3 from the Unknown/Thargoid Probe
Jelicoe et al. - For their in-game & RP efforts to get those responsible to drop the Col 70 permit or release information on Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3

MadRaptor - for the Milky Way Society of Organics & Geologics
Baton et al. - For determining the criteria for finding Braintrees
The makers and users of EDDiscovery, EDSM & EDMC - for the data contained therein
The makers of EDDiscovery - for the maps
Spansh - whose tool allowed Baton et al. to easily find candidate Braintree bodies from the EDSM database
The many cmdrs who have found Braintree and hence Guardian areas throughout the galaxy.
Cmdr PanPiper et al. for finding the area in Wregoe with Braintrees but no Guardian sites.

Cmdr XDeath - For triangulating the location of the first Guardian site
Many many people for Guardians investigations, particularly everyone involved in the efforts to solve the Ram Tah Decoding the Ancient Ruins Mission.
Noodlz05 et al. for being first to complete the mission, and obtaining the universal scanner upgrade, allowing Guardian sites to be spotted via the Nav Panel/HUD.
Many many people - for searching for and discovering Guardian sites.
Everyone who provided means to submit discoveries, and collated the information.
Everyone at Canonn who checks and confirms reported discoveries.
Rizal72 - for the Megathread Front Pages, and maintenance thereof.

Supplemental Info

Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3 is a T Tauri star (from Galmap).

What's presumed to be the system layout (from the Thargoid Device spectrogram) is below:


Spansh search set for Braintree candidates (Note! Only works for bodies which have been submitted to EDSM. Many systems and bodies aren't in the EDSM database.)

https://www.spansh.co.uk/bodies/search/D77A7322-B420-11E7-A708-9472C33B8412

Baton's guide to finding Braintrees:

https://forums.frontier.co.uk/showthread.php/391830-Brain-trees-How-To-Guide

Edit - added some words which appear to have got lost in revisions prior to posting at some point.
 
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With the Thargoids providing everyone with a reminder about Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3 (Courtesy of Factabulous, see https://forums.frontier.co.uk/showt...r-IR-W-D1-55?p=6785694&viewfull=1#post6785694) I thought it would be a good time to provide an update on some investigations into the system and some possible implications.

I posted a shot from my EDDi map slightly later in that thread, but given it's lack of clarity I'll explain further here.

With Col 70 locked, what's actually at Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3, but for quite a while I've been looking at what might be inferred.

Although still unable to make any strong inferences about what's in the system, other things have emerged and it's those aspects that I'll elaborate here.

I've taken a shot from Canonn maps and drawn on key systems to illustrate things better:



The key thing I'd like to highlight is the positions of Soontill and Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3, what's between them and the possible implications of it.


Firstly some background.


Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3 and the Col 70 Sector

- One of the pieces of data transmitted by the Thargoid Probe is distance from Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3. This is in units where 1 = the distance from Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3. This was worked out by Cmdr Wace back in 2016 / 3302. 1

- Possibly unrelated but prior to that Cmdr Genar-Hofoen had discovered an antenna at a Dark Wheel base which appeared to be permanently orientated towards Col 70.2

- Col 70 Sector is locked by an Unknown Permit.

- Col 70 Sector is roughly a 1,000 ly diameter sphere, and although everything that is named a Col 70 system is locked, there are unlocked regions within.

- This results in there being a 'wall' of Col 70 Sector systems.

- The wall is about 180 - 200 ly thick at Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3

- The 2 main ways to access the unlocked regions within Col 70 are by crossing from Synuefe to Witchhead Sector (where the Col 70 wall is only 20 - 30 ly thick) or around the back via Col 69 Sector and Barnards Loop.

- There's a 3rd way in which I found, which is a Neutron Star jump which goes almost directly through Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3. See:



- Despite Col 70 being Unknown Permit locked, Wreaken construction are known to be operating therein3

- There are reports that the Col 70 Sector wasn't locked in 3300.

This all strongly implies that some people know full well what is at Col Sector 70 FY-N C21-3, but independent cmdrs are being locked off from it. That leaves the very obvious questions of who is responsible and why.

Efforts have been made by cmdrs to force the release of this information, but these are yet to yield any results.4,5


Soontill

- Soontill 1 is rumoured to have been the site of a base of the Circle of Independent Elite Pilots (a splinter group of The Dark Wheel).

- It's rumoured that it was the site of a joint Human-Thargoid project.



- It's also rumoured that Soontill was the site of a Thargoid R&D base which was lost to the Thargoids, and that the advanced Thargoid technology that had been developed there was used by the CIEP.

- It's rumoured that the base was deliberately destroyed using a weapon developed there following a conflict between the CIEP, remnants of INRA, and another group. This is rumoured to have penetrated the planet's crust and resulted in an outflow of lava covering the area.

- The description of Soontill reported by survivors of that conflict doesn't fully match the known Soontill system.

- Soontill 1 does have an unusual feature visible from space which might be a match to the described base destruction:



- Soontill was apparently mentioned by the Thargoids sometime around 3250 6.

- An auction of Soontill Relics around 3280 was apparently found to have been selling fakes7.

- A new wave of Soontill Relics started hitting the markets in early 3301 7

- Soontill Relics are described as "A slab of unidentified material covered in pictographs of an unknown origin."

- Analysis of those relics was reported to have shown that they could not have been of human origin, but did not fully match with known Thargoid materials 6.

The relics not being a full match with known Thargoid material does indicate there could be some truth to the rumour of Soontill being a Thargoid R&D site which the Thargoids had lost contact with, as this could explain the nature of the material. It's also interesting to note that humanity apparently heard of Soontill from the Thargoids around 2850, which certainly has some bearing on rumours that there has been ongoing contact and possibly some collaboration between the Thargoids and some members of humanity. It also raises an interesting question about why the Thargoids would mention Soontill to humanity, and what bearing that might have on current Thargoid activities.

A big question of course, is how could the Thargoids have lost contact with an advanced R&D site.


The Guardian connection

- Discovered logs from an expedition into Guardian space lead by Professor Melville showed that the Professor had hypothesised that the Guardians had been forced to migrate from an area roughly the size of the bubble 8.

- The logs also indicated that the first site found by independent cmdrs, at Synuefe XR-H D11-102, had been at the edge of Guardian territory, and that sites appeared in denser clusters the deeper into Guardian space that they were 8.

Based on the clustering/density of sites it was possible to estimate a rough centre of Guardian territory.

Based on that I calculated something notable - Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3 was slightly closer to the apparent centre of Guardian space than Synuefe XR-H D11-102.

(This remains the case now that the Regor Sector has emerged as the apparent centre of Guardian space. Distances from Regor are 730 ly and 750 ly respectively.)

At the time that raised the possibility that there was some crossover between Guardian - Thargoid areas of space / areas of interest, but the permit lock meant this couldn't be confirmed, and no Guardian sites have been reported near to Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3.

However, what has been established subsequently is a correlation between Braintrees and Guardian space:

- All suitable bodies within 70-100ly of an Ancient Ruin have braintrees.

The exception to this is a large area within Synuefe and Wregoe where Braintrees have been found, but despite searching no Ancient Ruins have been found.

In late October last year, I set out on a search for Braintrees in the vicinity of Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3, and immediately found them on the border of Col 70, only 106 ly from Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3 9.

I've subsequently been able to find an even closer site, Synuefe IH-T d4-14 at 93 ly from Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3.

What I've been able to further confirm is:

- The braintree area spreads for a considerable area over the Col 70 border

- There don't seem to be braintrees on the interior border within the unlocked regions within Col 70

- Hence there is an edge to the braintree field somewhere within Col 70 in the vicinity of Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3.

It had been established that the Guardian Ruins were the Ruins left from the second Guardian civil war that had lead to the extinction of their species, rather than an inter-species war.

Therefore given that there was an area of space with braintrees but no Guardian Ruins and the crossover of that with a notable Thargoid related system, there was an implication that the area of space without Ruins might have been the result of a Guardian - Thargoid conflict.

The Guardian - Thargoid conflict hypothesis has since been strongly reinforced by discoveries from logs in the more recently discovered Guardian Sites. These describe a conflict in which the Guardians withdrew from an area of space before then defeating the Thargoids, and then subsequently collapsing into civil war 10.




The Soontill implications

Returning to the image shown at the start:



And the following which shows a line of sight roughly from Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3 to Synuefe XR-H D11-102 (the dark blue dot within the light blue oval):



There are several key things which can be noted:

- There is a huge region which sits between Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3 and Soontill with braintrees but no Guardian ruins

- Synuefe XR-H D11-102 is almost on a direct line between Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3. (It is very close in the x-z plane, but a little bit above the line in the y-plane)

So, there appears to have been a huge conflict between the Guardians and the Thargoids that took place in the area of space between Soontill and Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3, which the Thargoids ultimately lost, but even more significantly, even thought the Guardians had withdrawn from a large amount of that space, the territory they didn't withdraw from still intercepted the space between Soontill and Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3, towards Soontill itself.

So, there we have it. A set of in game evidence that gives a plausible indication of what could have caused Soontill to have been lost to the Thargoids.

There's still lots of details missing of course, but it certainly supports the idea that Soontill could have been a lost Thargoid site.

It also leaves open many questions, particularly regarding the rumours that it was the Thargoids who told humanity about Soontill, and of course the ongoing question of what is actually at Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3 and why we independent cmdrs are being denied that knowledge.


References:

I see what you're getting at...

The Brain Trees may well be remnants, or markers, of areas of space that used to be inhabited by the Guardians, stretching from, not only their bubble and the system in which Melville's ship was lost, but all the way to Soontil and Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3... (not nescecarily Ancient Ruins or Guardian Structures, but areas colonised by them until they were potentially destroyed by either the Thargoids or through the second Guardian Civil War).

The fact that we know the Thargoids potentially come from the Col 70 Sector does lend your theory some serious credibility - since that would be the same area of space in which the Guardians could have had first contact on the fringe borders of their area of space - or bubble. Also, Guardian space itself was once seeded by the Thargoids, so the Barnacles they seeded could have well stretched from the Col 70 Sector, from the Synuefe Sector, all the way to Soontil...

Perhaps we should be greatful for the Guardians existing, otherwise their area of space, and our area of space, may well have been dominated by the Thargoids by now - but they were forced to flee.

The Soontil relics could well be Guardian in origin - it has been long suspected, but your theory now gives this some huge weight to it.

Mind if I add this theory of yours to my thread? :D

Edit: Looking back at your last picture; if indeed the Brain Trees are markers of old systems the Guardians occupied, and if Soontil was also their system once upon a time, then their space-faring civilization would have been huge! However - that would be totally expected since they had been a united space-faring civilization for at least a thousand years - compare our own bubble and growth in the last two or three hundred years, you can visibly see the difference of time between the two humanoid civilizations.
 
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+1 rep in appreciation of the amount of work that must have gone into your research that led to the hypothesis and also the amount of work you put into presenting that hypothesis.

I was wondering, if the guardians encroached on space seeded by thargoids, presumably with barnacles, and guardians legacy is braintrees, is it possible we might find systems where the two met which would have both braintrees AND barnacles present in them? Possibly even on the same body?
 
+1 rep in appreciation of the amount of work that must have gone into your research that led to the hypothesis and also the amount of work you put into presenting that hypothesis.

I was wondering, if the guardians encroached on space seeded by thargoids, presumably with barnacles, and guardians legacy is braintrees, is it possible we might find systems where the two met which would have both braintrees AND barnacles present in them? Possibly even on the same body?

Would be interesting to find. I have a suspicion that there are no systems like that, because the Brain trees act as Barnacle repellent.
The Guardians were experts in biological warfare. They probably learned quickly that Thargoid materials are weak against fungal infestation.
 
+1 rep in appreciation of the amount of work that must have gone into your research that led to the hypothesis and also the amount of work you put into presenting that hypothesis.

I was wondering, if the guardians encroached on space seeded by thargoids, presumably with barnacles, and guardians legacy is braintrees, is it possible we might find systems where the two met which would have both braintrees AND barnacles present in them? Possibly even on the same body?

Thanks! It's very much standing on the shoulders of giants on many fronts though. So first things first, I've added a Credits & Acknowledgements section to the post to cover that side of things.

It's an interesting question about whether we could find systems/bodies with both Barnacles and Braintrees.

I don't think we know enough about either the Guardian-Thargoid conflict or the Barnacle (or Barnacle-Thargoid) lifecycle to say.

With the Thargoid surface features we know of at the moment - Barnacles, Barnacle Forests, Thargoid Structure - there's a possibility that the Barnacles do not remain Barnacles, and they might ultimately then not even remain on the planets they were originally seeded on.

If they do remain as Barnacles, or grow but remain on planets, then we don't know how long they would live for, and how long their remains would survive for. It's approx 2 Million years since the Guardian-Thargoid conflict.

In terms of the Guardian-Thargoid conflict, there's a lot of questions that :

  • How did the Guardians approach the barnacles, and would there have been any left in the areas the Guardians had occupied when they retreated?

  • If any Barnacles remained, did the Thargoids do anything with them when the Guardians retreated?

  • Would any remaining Barnacles have been destroyed when the Guardians fought back and defeated the Thargoids?

And if any Barnacles did survive past that point:

  • Would the Guardian AI have returned to those area after their attack on the Guardians, and if so would they have done anything to any remaining Barnacles?

  • Would the Thargoids have returned to any remaining Barnacles at some point over the 2 Million years since the conflict, and if so would they have done anything?

Regardless though, it would definitely be interesting to try and check.

The biggest challenge would be checking for barnacles. The Braintrees are easy to find, but AFAIK, Barnacles aren't. I wouldn't be surprised if PanPiper and co have already checked some bodies though.
 
Excellent post Thachino! I would however like to poke a few holes.

"It had been established that the Guardian Ruins were the Ruins left from the second Guardian civil war that had lead to the extinction of their species, rather than an inter-species war."

I would disagree with this and the notion of retreat theory. The principle of a retreating element would be reinforced if there was advancing element. But no evidence suggest this, not to mention the ridiculousness of setting up the same types of base which were somehow miraculously found by enemy forces which could also travel faster than light. The guardians when they perished, perished where they stood in a simultaneous and instant attack. The ruins were not caused by the civil war, except by the betrayal of their AI.

I also do not believe brain trees to be sensors or border markings. To me they are remnants of battlefield weapons. Always are brain trees found in ejecta craters or in ejecta lines. This suggest that braintrees were not there prior as the force created by that which created the crater would have obliterated everything. Unless if by design it was meant to withstand impact and propagate; such as how the brain tree does. Your observations further support this in your note that inside col 70 sector there is none. In other words there was no battle front in that direction.

I think Ram Tah might have gotten a few things wrong (or FDEV) in terms of warfare and the amount of logistics that goes behind it. Hence why some of the stated things conflict with the technology, methods, and their religious/moral compass.

As food for thought. Earth has existed as a livable planet for over 2 million years. That all guardian worlds were wiped out is an improbability further made unlikely by every extra ruin found.
 
Excellent post Thachino! I would however like to poke a few holes.
Thanks! And holes being pointed out is most welcome, as always!

"It had been established that the Guardian Ruins were the Ruins left from the second Guardian civil war that had lead to the extinction of their species, rather than an inter-species war."

I would disagree with this and the notion of retreat theory. The principle of a retreating element would be reinforced if there was advancing element. But no evidence suggest this, not to mention the ridiculousness of setting up the same types of base which were somehow miraculously found by enemy forces which could also travel faster than light. The guardians when they perished, perished where they stood in a simultaneous and instant attack. The ruins were not caused by the civil war, except by the betrayal of their AI.

I think we're actually essentially saying the same thing here. I'm not saying there was a retreat in the second civil war. The retreat part is just with regard to the Thargoid conflict. I'm also considering the AIs action as part of (specifically the end of) the second civil war.

So, to clarify further, from the new logs we have the following sequence of events:

- Thargoids seed planets
- Guardians occupy those planets
- Thargoids return, find the Guardians have occupied the planets, and attack
- Guardians don't strongly resist, make a partial retreat, and try to establish communications
- Communications don't result in cessation of conflict. Thargoids continue to attack.
- Guardians respond more aggresively, develop automated war machines, drones. etc.
- Thargoids retreat
- Creation/use of war machines contributes to schism in Guardian society and ultimately civil war
- The civil war ultimately ends with the AI turning on the Guardians
- The few surviving Guardians record what happened but die of radiation poisoning


The retreat is specifically talked about:

"At some point after the war with the Thargoids began, the Guardians were forced to make a partial retreat." From log 3 of 28.

Now I don't completely trust what Ram Tah says, but the point I was making was that the evidence does to some extent support the assertion of a partial retreat from the Thargoids.

If we have a pattern that is consistent everywhere through the galaxy apart from one area, then it suggests that something different happened in that area to the other areas. As that area extends towards known Thargoid areas, it suggests that that is a factor in what happened differently in that area.

So from the logs, we have:

  • a description of the Guardians retreating from one area of space under attack from the Thargoids, without putting up any real resistance.

  • a description of a civil war affecting all Guardian space culminating in a simultaneous surprise attack on all Guardians by the Guardian AI.

And what we have found is:

  • a pattern that is consistent across all of the many Guardian areas, with one exception;

  • an area where one would expect to find Guardian sites but doesn't.

I would assert that what we see is at least a partial match for what's described in the logs.

One challenge to this I would put in myself is that braintrees have been found extending a considerable distance in all directions from the main Guardian bubble, and the extent is considerably further than that of known Guardian sites in all directions.

That could be the genuine situation but equally it could be an artefact due to a number of factors:

  • it's known exactly where to look for Braintrees, and a lot them were found by looking up candidate bodies from EDSM via Spansh.

  • concentrated searches for Guardian sites around them are not likely to have happened.

  • finding Guardian sites depends on stumbling across them, and needs people to check their nav panels and do a full sweep of bodies with their HUD.

  • the highest amounts of cmdr activity is around known sites, and that's consequently where most sites will have been found.

On the other hand, IIRC the Wregoe Braintree cluster was well searched and no ruins found.


I also do not believe brain trees to be sensors or border markings.
Neither do I. So just to be clear, I'm not saying that's what their purpose is/was. I'm saying that they can however be used that way. As an analogy, street lights aren't there to identify areas of human population, but they can be used that way when viewed from a plane or satellite at night.

To me they are remnants of battlefield weapons. Always are brain trees found in ejecta craters or in ejecta lines. This suggest that braintrees were not there prior as the force created by that which created the crater would have obliterated everything. Unless if by design it was meant to withstand impact and propagate; such as how the brain tree does.
I'm not sure about them being remnants of battlefield weapons. One alternative explanation, which is just that the Braintrees are just there to do what they effectively currently do - produce mineral resources. Having biological mineral extractors would be in keeping with the Guardians' general ethos, and ejecta craters and lines makes sense as the location for them.

Your observations further support this in your note that inside col 70 sector there is none. In other words there was no battle front in that direction.
Ah, perhaps I mis-expressed something somewhere. As there Braintree sites spread over the border of Col 70 on the Synuefe side, it suggests that they extend into Col 70 in those regions. The question is how far into Col 70 they extend. They don't appear to extend into the Spirograph or NGC 2232 Sectors, but that still leaves a considerable section of the Col 70 wall between there and Synuefe, and the implication is that the borders of the Braintree area is within the Col 70 wall.

I think Ram Tah might have gotten a few things wrong (or FDEV) in terms of warfare and the amount of logistics that goes behind it. Hence why some of the stated things conflict with the technology, methods, and their religious/moral compass.
Yeah, it's always possible.

As food for thought. Earth has existed as a livable planet for over 2 million years. That all guardian worlds were wiped out is an improbability further made unlikely by every extra ruin found.
I think I'm missing something with the statement about Earth. With respect to the improbability of all Guardian worlds being wiped out, I'm not so sure - the setup described would allow for the almost total wiping out.

Just wanted to come back to one of your points from earlier:

But no evidence suggest this, not to mention the ridiculousness of setting up the same types of base which were somehow miraculously found by enemy forces which could also travel faster than light.

Were you talking about the second civil war here? If so, then I don't think the idea of the bases having to be found applies. The scenario described for the second civil war isn't one of a war between two groups each with their own star systems, it's one of a split that permeated their entire civilisation down to the level of individual city states. With the war taking place at that level, it's a very different scenario to an interstellar war.
 
It could be interesting to find out what space pumpkins are, maybe that happens soon. Perhaps they relate to all this, or could even result from interactions between two known alien surface organics. There could be a dead barnacle inside of those yellow space mushrooms.

Thargoids and humans seems like a very faustian story to me, you know, INRA reverse-engineering technology, all the secrecy, alien items being transported into the bubble despite early warnings and danger. Even attacked systems had Aegis labs in them, or megaships carrying probes. Humans taking the bait and alien technology turning us visible for the galactic boogeymen.

I would hypothesize something similar happened to Guardians. A bit of technological exchange, and some would start admiring how technologically sophisticated this new alien species is, while being so fundamentally different, having attained biomechanical hive-mind, existentially higher lifeform, immortality. Then they start incorporating some of that technology, an uproar starts, and finally AI says they've gone too far, it's too late to save them, all must go. Then you ask if all of them really went extinct and that's a great cliffhanger.

I have lately realized that Elite alien saga could be doing something different from what we are expecting. Drew said something changed. I'm not seeing "a Club" anywhere, no Oresrians or Klaxxians anywhere, just Thargoid ships so far. One of those INRA bases did mention "a specimen" and "a creature", while Galnet calls Thargoids "insectoid in nature", but so far it's unclear if there has been any "creatures" in vessels we've encountered. I don't think there is going to be anything more than biological modules, parts of an entity, a spinal cord.
Even Wreaken Construction operating in Col 70 could be missing.

I won't mind being proven wrong when 3.1 comes. Once I claimed Thargoids were "evolutionally driven", thankfully that was corrected promptly.
 
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It could be interesting to find out what space pumpkins are, maybe that happens soon. Perhaps they relate to all this, or could even result from interactions between two known alien surface organics. There could be a dead barnacle inside of those yellow space mushrooms.

Thargoids and humans seems like a very faustian story to me, you know, INRA reverse-engineering technology, all the secrecy, alien items being transported into the bubble despite early warnings and danger. Even attacked systems had Aegis labs in them, or megaships carrying probes. Humans taking the bait and alien technology turning us visible for the galactic boogeymen.

I would hypothesize something similar happened to Guardians. A bit of technological exchange, and some would start admiring how technologically sophisticated this new alien species is, while being so fundamentally different, having attained biomechanical hive-mind, existentially higher lifeform, immortality. Then they start incorporating some of that technology, an uproar starts, and finally AI says they've gone too far, it's too late to save them, all must go. Then you ask if all of them really went extinct and that's a great cliffhanger.

I have lately realized that Elite alien saga could be doing something different from what we are expecting. Drew said something changed. I'm not seeing "a Club" anywhere, no Oresrians or Klaxxians anywhere, just Thargoid ships so far. One of those INRA bases did mention "a specimen" and "a creature", while Galnet calls Thargoids "insectoid in nature", but so far it's unclear if there has been any "creatures" in vessels we've encountered. I don't think there is going to be anything more than biological modules, parts of an entity, a spinal cord.
Even Wreaken Construction operating in Col 70 could be missing.

I won't mind being proven wrong when 3.1 comes. Once I claimed Thargoids were "evolutionally driven", thankfully that was corrected promptly.

It could be that Space Pumpkins are back-engineered Barnicles that humans created, and Brain Trees are back-engineered Barnicles that the Guardians created :D

I'm wondering if the Brain Trees are actually built and maintained by nanobots or nano bio-mechanical organisms - same goes for the Space Pumpkins - since these are organisms that can both survive the harsh radiation of a star, survive harsh cold and harsh heat and, to top it all off, survive in a vacuum - all of which a machine easily survive and do (evidence for this are the nanobots inherent in the Obelisks and Guardian Artefacts).

The Brain Trees especially create weird sounds... something I would liken to a hive of bees buzzing their wings - except in the Brain Trees case, it's the various clicks and clacks of the nanobot organisms responsible for growing the trees.

However... as ever, and just as likely, both the Pumpkins and Trees could have evolved organically in these airless conditions... (if this is the case, then it seems they are far more succesful organisms, existing in the same time frame, as opposed to two inteligent humanoid species existing at the same time, like humans and guardians - what are the odds of that? I call... manure!)
 
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Very interesting summary, thx.

In regards to your reference #2:
https://forums.frontier.co.uk/showt...ift-(Part-3)?p=3981295&viewfull=1#post3981295

I asked around, to see if anyone knew more about that decal.
It seems to appear on cargo containers, and it appears in the faction decal spot on ports owned by independent factions.

Thanks!

There was some discussion about the decal and it's possible meaning on the Formidine Rift thread following Genar-Hofoen's post, and I think it's come up a few times since, but nothing conclusive from it IIRC, so thanks for checking around! It's definitely an interesting logo, could be some meaning behind it. Or it could just be a logo!
 
I see what you're getting at...

The Brain Trees may well be remnants, or markers, of areas of space that used to be inhabited by the Guardians, stretching from, not only their bubble and the system in which Melville's ship was lost, but all the way to Soontil and Col 70 Sector FY-N C21-3... (not nescecarily Ancient Ruins or Guardian Structures, but areas colonised by them until they were potentially destroyed by either the Thargoids or through the second Guardian Civil War).
Well, just for clarity, as I've said in one of the other replies, I don't think that the Braintrees' purpose is/was to act as markers of Guardian space, but I think we can effectively use their presence in that way. Guardian sites being found within every Braintree area found elsewhere in the Galaxy is something I think is hard to ignore.

With regard to the Braintree area stretching all the way to Soontill, I'm not sure if it does, but it's a very good point. There's lots of known candidates around Soontill so it should be easy to check.

https://www.spansh.co.uk/bodies/search/C867FD2E-748B-11E8-B221-B1CA0CF08F5B


The fact that we know the Thargoids potentially come from the Col 70 Sector does lend your theory some serious credibility - since that would be the same area of space in which the Guardians could have had first contact on the fringe borders of their area of space - or bubble. Also, Guardian space itself was once seeded by the Thargoids, so the Barnacles they seeded could have well stretched from the Col 70 Sector, from the Synuefe Sector, all the way to Soontil...
Yeah, indeed. Although we do have the original Guardian Ruin in that area of space, and I wonder if that's an indication that the Barnacle seeding hadn't extended that far, or just that the Guardians didn't retreat from that system.

Perhaps we should be greatful for the Guardians existing, otherwise their area of space, and our area of space, may well have been dominated by the Thargoids by now - but they were forced to flee.
Yeah, it's certainly possible! On the other hand, maybe the Thargoids would have seeded, harvested and have moved on from the area by now if it hadn't been for the conflict with the Guardians. We still know so little in terms of genuine facts, and many possibilities remain!

The Soontil relics could well be Guardian in origin - it has been long suspected, but your theory now gives this some huge weight to it.
Well I think indications support the idea that Soontill was a lost Thargoid advanced R&D base, and the Soontill Relics are Thargoid in origin (with their difference to standard Thargoid materials being due to them being developed in isolation from the rest of the Thargoid civilisation), but I do also wonder if they may have been using Guardian materials as part of their research. One would expect the Thargoids to have tried to capture and research their enemies tech, and perhaps Soontill was the base where that research was being undertaken. For that to have been the case though, it must have primarily been Guardian tech that had been developed prior to them pushing the Thargoids back, otherwise there's a big question over how Soontill could get access to Guardian materials while at the same time being cut off from the rest of the Thargoid civilisation.



Mind if I add this theory of yours to my thread? :D
Go for it!

Edit: Looking back at your last picture; if indeed the Brain Trees are markers of old systems the Guardians occupied, and if Soontil was also their system once upon a time, then their space-faring civilization would have been huge! However - that would be totally expected since they had been a united space-faring civilization for at least a thousand years - compare our own bubble and growth in the last two or three hundred years, you can visibly see the difference of time between the two humanoid civilizations.
Yeah, I'm not sure Soontill was ever a Guardian system, but it's possible. Regardless though, it's not that much further from Regor to Soontill than it is from Regor to the original Guardian site, so yeah, it was definitely large! And that's without considering all the other small Guardian bubbles throughout the galaxy!
 
...
One of those INRA bases did mention "a specimen" and "a creature", while Galnet calls Thargoids "insectoid in nature", but so far it's unclear if there has been any "creatures" in vessels we've encountered. I don't think there is going to be anything more than biological modules, parts of an entity, a spinal cord.
Even Wreaken Construction operating in Col 70 could be missing.

I won't mind being proven wrong when 3.1 comes. Once I claimed Thargoids were "evolutionally driven", thankfully that was corrected promptly.

If you haven't seen it you might find this interesting,,,

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-nDYYYqrhp4
 
The Soontil part is strange, and I keep picturing the Thargoid who told a human about Soontill:

"Yes there is that base that we lost track of long ago, it's right here on this map... Wait, you're less than 500 meters away from me? *deploys swarm* "

Nice read, let's just hope we will finally get some answers to these long term mysteries.
 
The Soontil part is strange, and I keep picturing the Thargoid who told a human about Soontill:

"Yes there is that base that we lost track of long ago, it's right here on this map... Wait, you're less than 500 meters away from me? *deploys swarm* "

Nice read, let's just hope we will finally get some answers to these long term mysteries.
Yeah, it's an interesting little nugget of information isn't it, especially in light of what's currently going on. I do wonder what the circumstances were around it. There's rumours that there were some kind of inter-species talks, but even if that happened, then that opens up all sorts of questions about what the Thargoids motives were for telling the human representatives about Soontill. Lots of possibilities spring to mind, but I think a lot of it would depend on whether the Thargoids knew that there genuinely was a lost base with advanced tech, or whether it was just considered a myth by them.

A few thoughts on possible motivations:

  • It may have been a 'closed box' type bargaining chip (as in 'you give us X and we give you Y. Y might turn out to be worthless or it might turn out to be incredibly valuable.')

  • It may have been a genuine bargaining chip.


(If so I wonder what they got in return? The cure for the Mycoid virus? The Mycoid itself? Something else?)

  1. They were genuinely asking for help and hoped we would help them find it. (If so, why? Desperation? A push on their part towards a better relationship between the species? Did they just think it was something that had an intrinsic value for them but no value to us? Something else?)

  2. They told us, but did so knowing we wouldn't tell them if we found it. (If so, was it done to boost humanity's tech, or was it done with the intention of introducing a power imbalance, knowing that could lead to war between human factions? Or even, was it done because whichever way it went would suit the Thargoids' purposes?)

  3. It was a trap, intended to lure us towards Guardian territory and a possible Human-Guardian (or Human-Guardian descendant/successor) conflict

  4. It was a trap intended to lure us towards Guardian territory, with the aim that the tech we discovered there would lead us into a similar path to self destruction as the Guardians.

  5. It was intended to lead us towards Guardian territory but not as a trap, rather in the hope that humanity would be able to access Guardian tech (which the Thargoids wouldn't be able to do), for any of the reasons already mentioned.

  6. It was just intended as a wild goose chase.

I agree on the getting answers to a certain extent, but I think I would rather that we are able to figure things out definitively ourselves rather than just get given an answer. I don't I would trust any PF approved answer that comes through Galnet anyway! ;)
 
@Thatchinho: Could be my memory playing tricks on me (certainly wouldn't be the first time), but wasn't Soontil connected to the story of the alien relic first discovered on Mars? Or is that a completely separate thing entirely (another mystery in its own right)?

If need be I can search for references, but I'm hoping people will remember this and maybe put me straight.
 
@Thatchinho: Could be my memory playing tricks on me (certainly wouldn't be the first time), but wasn't Soontil connected to the story of the alien relic first discovered on Mars? Or is that a completely separate thing entirely (another mystery in its own right)?

If need be I can search for references, but I'm hoping people will remember this and maybe put me straight.

There is no confirmed connection between the Mars relic and Soontil.

As far as I know, Soontil was created because the author wasn’t allowed to use Raxxla in the story.
 
It's shame we don't have a golden rep we can use once a month or so, so a simple +1 rep.

My humble contribution is, that the surface feature (volcano-like shape) on Soontil 1 is fairly common. I guess it will get a proper treatment once atmospheric planets open up.
The thing with CIEP is, that probably their nav computers are not tied to the Pilots Federation nav computers, hence they can probably freely enter Col70, which could be interesting prospect.

I wish there was a region to look for something, it would be a nice break from the bubble dwelling. :)
 
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