I'm curious, what do the folks who are so sure 10ly is not enough actually want to do?
Is it a desire to explicitly be disconnected from the bubble in terms of trade/BGS/Powerplay etc (in which case yeah, I guess that's not what Frontier are doing with this) or is it mostly because you have a specific, very scenic system/planet in mind that you wanted to be the first to colonise?
If the latter, then I do wonder how sure we are that there aren't plenty of nice places within a few multiples of 10ly around the edges of the existing bubble.
I've tried to do some maths.
The radius of the bubble is approx. 150ly.
That means the surface area of the bubble (4πr²) is about 282600ly².
If we divide that by the 10ly range then I think we have around 28260 systems that could be current starting points from which we could begin our colonisation efforts.
This is a complete guesstimate but let's say each one of those has 2 or 3 systems within 10ly that only it could colonise.
That means there's something like 70,000 systems up for grabs on day 1.
Someone PLEASE check my maths but that sounds like a lot of systems to dismiss as "uninteresting".
There's definitely two camps here. One wants to simply engage in the mechanics and put their stamp on the galaxy, and will enjoy that process no matter where it is. These tend to be the players that enjoy engaging in things like the BGS and PowerPlay, so the 10 Ly limit, while still short, doesn't massively impact them as they want to be connected to everything anyway.
The other camp are the explorers, who take pride in being as far away from all of the Bubble antics as possible. These players want to break away from the BGS and PowerPlay and set up shop pretty much anywhere, typically somewhere pretty they've found, and create a subset of a few systems as an outpost Bubble in the black where they can live in peace.
Both are pretty reasonable approaches to me, but the current rules definitely caters to one and excludes the other. How much that will change during "beta" is yet to be seen.
Personally, I've got my eye on a system that's fairly close to home. There's a really pretty spot that I want to place my planetary home base at, but it's within spitting distance of being involved in all the BGS and PowerPlay shenanigans that I personally like to have around. Based on the current rules that we know of, it'll take three hops to get there. As nice as it'd be to do it in one, I've got no issue putting the work into getting there and then expanding my Power in that direction. What I am worried about is working hard to do the first two hops, then someone swooping in and taking the system I'm aiming for if life gets in the way. If I could hop a little further each time, or even do it in one hop, then I'd be less worried if someone took it as I'd have not put any work into getting there.