Cycle 36
The raw data for cycle 37 preparations has still not been released.
The file is incorrect and from the very start of cycle 38, but since cycle 37 has already ended, I guess we won't be getting this data.
This will be shorter than usual, since the cycle has ended there really isn't any need for my predictions (or I could be extremely accurate with them)
Fortification and Expansion
Above are the charts for just Fortification and Expansion, because of the missing preparation.
ALD and Hudson both had expansions, so dominated the total merits.
Winters, Delaine and Patreus all put in above average (for them) merits into their preparations, about 200000 for winters, 95000 for Delaine and 70000 for Patreus.
Antal put in around 30000, but I don't have approximate values for any other power, so haven't used them on a chart.
Aisling probably did a massive amount of merits in preparation as usual, and I have no idea what Mahon might have put in, but I know they will have a record of it.
Although not shown, Delaine put more effective merits into Preparation than Fortification.
On the effective merits chart, Aisling would probably be number 1 if preparation was included, but using the know merits, there wasn't much between ALD, Hudson and Aisling.
Winters continued being in the number 4 position, and Antal continued putting in more merits than the bottom 3.
Above is an estimate of the total preparations, ALD was in Turmoil and Mahon had low CC, so both couldn't prepare.
The Hudson and Aisling numbers are just a guess and could be very wrong.
Opposition
Hudson had a large 1.4 million in opposition, most of it in his expansion, which was successfully stopped, presumably by mostly ALD players.
The end totals were 1649577 vs 767870, one of the biggest expansions battles, and one of the few Hudson or ALD expansions that have directly failed, not failed due to Turmoil.
ALD had a high amount of undermining, due to her having 3 profitable systems on the chopping block, but also using the opportunity to get some of their bad systems undermined so they could be lost the next week.
Mahon had his usual 1 million in undermining, and Delaine and Winters had a high to medium amount of total undermining.
On the effective chart, Hudson and ALD stand out far above everyone else.
84% of the effective merits needed to undermine all of ALDs systems (736990 out of a possible 872786) was reached.
Hudson, Mahon, Delaine and Winters had what would be a high amount of effective undermining, but ALD just had a massive amount, dwarfing everyone else.
Sirius was in the middle as usual, and the other 4 powers were barely opposed.
Speculation and Commentary
As mentioned at the top, the cycle has already ended, so no real need for predictions.
The only thing I will mention was ALDs drop to be equal with Antal on 43%, which basically put her in the bottom 3.
Although there is no collapse mechanism, and the manual states a collapse when a power is in the bottom 3 and doesn't expand, what happened to ALD represents what a real collapse would look like.
Much of this is due to the actions of her own players trying to move into a positive CC starting balance, but ALD is also a power that was too large, lost quite a few systems, and dropped down to the bottom.
ALD will have no problems winning expansions though, so no real danger of the Emperor being removed.
On a slight side note, having the Emperor be a Power seems a bit strange unless there is some mechanism for her to be replaced as Emperor by one of the other 3 Imperial Powers.
Some sort of Assassination CG if she is the bottom ranked Imperial power, but alas, nothing so cool on the drawing board yet.
The raw data for cycle 37 preparations has still not been released.
The file is incorrect and from the very start of cycle 38, but since cycle 37 has already ended, I guess we won't be getting this data.
This will be shorter than usual, since the cycle has ended there really isn't any need for my predictions (or I could be extremely accurate with them)
Fortification and Expansion
Above are the charts for just Fortification and Expansion, because of the missing preparation.
ALD and Hudson both had expansions, so dominated the total merits.
Winters, Delaine and Patreus all put in above average (for them) merits into their preparations, about 200000 for winters, 95000 for Delaine and 70000 for Patreus.
Antal put in around 30000, but I don't have approximate values for any other power, so haven't used them on a chart.
Aisling probably did a massive amount of merits in preparation as usual, and I have no idea what Mahon might have put in, but I know they will have a record of it.
Although not shown, Delaine put more effective merits into Preparation than Fortification.
On the effective merits chart, Aisling would probably be number 1 if preparation was included, but using the know merits, there wasn't much between ALD, Hudson and Aisling.
Winters continued being in the number 4 position, and Antal continued putting in more merits than the bottom 3.
Above is an estimate of the total preparations, ALD was in Turmoil and Mahon had low CC, so both couldn't prepare.
The Hudson and Aisling numbers are just a guess and could be very wrong.
Opposition
Hudson had a large 1.4 million in opposition, most of it in his expansion, which was successfully stopped, presumably by mostly ALD players.
The end totals were 1649577 vs 767870, one of the biggest expansions battles, and one of the few Hudson or ALD expansions that have directly failed, not failed due to Turmoil.
ALD had a high amount of undermining, due to her having 3 profitable systems on the chopping block, but also using the opportunity to get some of their bad systems undermined so they could be lost the next week.
Mahon had his usual 1 million in undermining, and Delaine and Winters had a high to medium amount of total undermining.
On the effective chart, Hudson and ALD stand out far above everyone else.
84% of the effective merits needed to undermine all of ALDs systems (736990 out of a possible 872786) was reached.
Hudson, Mahon, Delaine and Winters had what would be a high amount of effective undermining, but ALD just had a massive amount, dwarfing everyone else.
Sirius was in the middle as usual, and the other 4 powers were barely opposed.
Speculation and Commentary
As mentioned at the top, the cycle has already ended, so no real need for predictions.
The only thing I will mention was ALDs drop to be equal with Antal on 43%, which basically put her in the bottom 3.
Although there is no collapse mechanism, and the manual states a collapse when a power is in the bottom 3 and doesn't expand, what happened to ALD represents what a real collapse would look like.
Much of this is due to the actions of her own players trying to move into a positive CC starting balance, but ALD is also a power that was too large, lost quite a few systems, and dropped down to the bottom.
ALD will have no problems winning expansions though, so no real danger of the Emperor being removed.
On a slight side note, having the Emperor be a Power seems a bit strange unless there is some mechanism for her to be replaced as Emperor by one of the other 3 Imperial Powers.
Some sort of Assassination CG if she is the bottom ranked Imperial power, but alas, nothing so cool on the drawing board yet.
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