Various people are kicking comments around about ALD's collapse and how their players "let" her fall in to turmoil. I've taken a quick look at the numbers for the current cycle for the top four powers to see how they're going to fare in the next couple of cycles.
To do this, I took their current numbers and then assumed two things: first, that their existing expansion attempts succeed and second, that their current level of fortification will continue. I then extrapolated out a number of cycles to find out when they will hit their CC deficit.
The results aren't pretty. At current rate all of the current top four powers will be in turmoil in two cycles' time.
The only way to stop this from happening is to reduce the rate of expansion. Powers could do this by:
As preparation is limited by available CC the best way to reduce successful preparation targets is by not fortifying control systems. This might be enough to slow down Hudson and Winters, but Duval and Torval both have a lot of CC and so it's unlikely to make a significant difference.
Bad systems are basically those with the smallest number of systems. But players don't like those systems and so it's unlikely to succeed.
Expansion is next-to-impossible to stop because it provides an easy way of merit grinding.
So, that's a two-week clock to see if FD are going to change anything before half of the powers, and most of the major ones, end up in messy turmoil. Lay your bets, please.
To do this, I took their current numbers and then assumed two things: first, that their existing expansion attempts succeed and second, that their current level of fortification will continue. I then extrapolated out a number of cycles to find out when they will hit their CC deficit.
The results aren't pretty. At current rate all of the current top four powers will be in turmoil in two cycles' time.
The only way to stop this from happening is to reduce the rate of expansion. Powers could do this by:
- Not preparing systems for expansion.
- Flooding the preparation list with bad systems.
- Not expanding prepared systems.
As preparation is limited by available CC the best way to reduce successful preparation targets is by not fortifying control systems. This might be enough to slow down Hudson and Winters, but Duval and Torval both have a lot of CC and so it's unlikely to make a significant difference.
Bad systems are basically those with the smallest number of systems. But players don't like those systems and so it's unlikely to succeed.
Expansion is next-to-impossible to stop because it provides an easy way of merit grinding.
So, that's a two-week clock to see if FD are going to change anything before half of the powers, and most of the major ones, end up in messy turmoil. Lay your bets, please.
