Thanks for the sheet Wishblend, I took a copy and I'm using that to do a few basic stats on the sets of data.
No, they're not. To the eye, then yes it *looks* random.
If you take a ratio for the purple flashes vs total, and green flashes vs total, you get 2 sets of reciprocal data. Finding the mean and standard deviation (SD) for each data set shows that the figures are actually constrained. The data sets for Segnir show some drift either side of the mean, but 5 of the 7 points are within +/-1SD of the mean, with 1 high and 1 low outlier.
The statistics for Farorar are even better. The small SD shows the data set is constrained within a tight range.
Code:
Segnir
Purple Average 0.566 Green Average 0.434
SD 0.144 SD 0.144
+1SD 0.710 +1SD 0.578
-1SD 0.422 -1SD 0.290
Farorar
Purple Average 0.648 Green Average 0.352
SD 0.077 SD 0.077
+1SD 0.725 +1SD 0.428
-1SD 0.572 -1SD 0.275
What this tells us is that we should continue to get multiple readings from each system. 7 times is a sweet spot because it's enough data to be meaningful, but not so much that you're wasting all your free time watching things flash on your screen.
I think we should also use the "mean of the ratios" from each set of readings so it smooths out any peculiar or outlier data points.
This is the copied sheet I've been using...
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dKwhwlTK56SBSWdliwaXkwl2KY1p058x6KR9raAJJPk/edit?usp=sharing
The fluctuation you talk about gets smoothed out when you take the means of the flash ratios for multiple readings.
High school statistical maths can help you determine if a set of data is random, or is a defined value with a spread either side.
Now that sounds interesting Grumbleweed. I don't have a copy of the book, so can you summarise what the "Federation Blink Code" is please?
You haven't let anyone down. You've been the primary mover behind testing hypotheses for UAs. And it's not like they've all been destroyed, we still have RedWizard's and mrtree's don't we?
I've taken to working with both purple and green because we don't know which colour means what. It might be that more purple is closer to the source instead of green for all we know. We've all *assumed* the green is the right one because "green is go". I'm not saying Wishblend or anyone else is wrong, but I am saying we need to consider both possibilities equally.