Ah so the contracts fine but the only realistic way of covering the hours would be new rota and that rota shouldn't be taken into consideration.
Nope.
Right now the JDs can work unsafe hours. That is part of their campaign
A new contract has been proposed that will reduce those hours. That should be a plus for patient safety.
The fact the powers that be want to extend the NHS opening hours and thus require more man hours (or a cut in the number of hours per patient) is separate.
The reason for the strike is "the new
contracts put patient safety at risk" not "7 day opening puts patients at risk"
I'm not Junior Doctor (well not any kid of Doctor) but as I understand it key restrictions on hours worked that punish employees that overwork JD's are being removed. That will almost certainly lead to overworked Doctors and be equally bad for patients as a consequence. Regardless of any core hours reduction.
I have heard this, but not been able to pin down any evidence other than hearsay on social media. If you have any source for this assertion it would be great! That's exactly what I've been looking for. Right now all I can find I stuff from the NHS (the BMA site is members only), which indicates the hour limit protections are stronger (i.e. less hours, fewer consecutive nights etc).
Trainee GP's are also have/had a supplement to provide them with an equivalent wage to a hospital trainee doctor, from what I've read this could reduce trainee GP's pay by up to a third.
I have heard this also, but also the nhs/gov (and their info should be good enough to survive any prospective legal challenge, they might lie by omission or weasel words, but not outright lie) info indicates an estimated 1% would see an income fall.
Again, I come back to the BMA aren't striking "because JD pay is being cut"
Did your sister have any inkling that evening and weekend work would be part of being a landlord? You see JD's signed up for a certain set of conditions - this contract will reduce pay and alter conditions that they signed up for. Now I suppose you could argue that if everyone worked for nothing in the NHS it'd be really cheap - that doesn't make it fair. This is a subset of that. Worse terms and conditions and worse pay will impact on how attractive a career as a JD is and how many people want to work as a JD in the NHS.
of course she did, everybody knows the hours in hospitality are somewhat inhospitable.
You make a good point about signing up for one set of conditions and being switched to another. I am not in favour of imposition.
However it's not as if JDs signed up for a Monday to Friday, they already work weekends and nights (as their many social media posts evidence). The new contracts don't make them work days the otherwise wouldn't. The balance of pay for various days might be shifting but the times they might work aren't.
Again no proper data to say weekend work is specifically needed. No guarantee that it'll work in changing the mortality figures. Yes it will pay an individual doctor less so you could afford more doctors but that totally ignores supply and demand. Even if you took out the unsocial hours part of the new contract I'd expect the other areas that impact on pay and conditions would be enough to make a large number of JD's look for work elsewhere.
The debate about the need for, or even meaning of, a 7 day NHS is separate. Some of the NHS is already 7day, A&E, maternity etc. Do we need 7 day in other areas? 7 day chiropody? 7 day hearing services?
The radio show Yaffle posted did highlight some areas that could do with more cover, lab services for example.
It seems amazing to me that bankers threatening to leave is taken so seriously the government spends tax payers money defending obscene bonuses but can treat those who save lives as just a meaningless statistic who will have to put up with whatever contract is imposed on them.
Yeah well bankers.....
I don't disagree with most of your points, but my original aim was to find some facts to back up the BMA/JD claim that the new contracts would put patient safety at risk.
So far I have found several things that would put patients at risk, but not any in the contract (unless you can find a reference for the weakening of safeguards, I know they are changing some safeguarding but nothing that would specifically trump the reduction in hour limits).
I'm not against the JD strike per se, i'm uneasy about strikes in general but they do have the issue of not really being able to switch employers. Personally, I prefer work to rule but that's not so practical when lives are at risk if you go home on the dot. what I do want is some actual facts. I've been bombarded with stuff on social media, where the tone has been very emotional, long on pithy sound bites short on facts. It all feels very one sided. I just like facts over spin. Now we have the EU referendum, I'm going to have to start digging all over again, the chances of getting clear facts will probably be near zero!