General / Off-Topic The safest place

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The fact that you can walk around for up to 24 days spreading the Virus before you get Symptoms, heck, even that it can transmit from asymptomatic people took some time to learn.

Tinfoil hat moment:
Looks like the perfect precision bomb, right? Or like a targeted Thanos snap.
Targeting the elders, the weak and the unlucky. Throwing in disarray the "free world".
But containable in autocracies by employing measures that are unthinkable in a "free world"
 
SARS-CoV-2 is SARS

I'd say it's much worse. Maybe not as deadly, but much harder to contain.
Somehow the first SARS was able to be contained and yielded about only 8000 cases and less than 800 deaths

This SARS got 570 cases by 22 January and by the end of January there were close to 12000 already in China.
By the time the first cases were reported in Italy on 15th February, China had about 70000 cases.
 
I'd say it's much worse. Maybe not as deadly, but much harder to contain.
Somehow the first SARS was able to be contained and yielded about only 8000 cases and less than 800 deaths

This SARS got 570 cases by 22 January and by the end of January there were close to 12000 already in China.
By the time the first cases were reported in Italy on 15th February, China had about 70000 cases.
Its not actually SARS, though (right?). COVID is more like a bad cold in most cases, but the more severe symptoms (experienced by the elderly and people with weakened immune systems) can induce the effects of SARS and Pneumonia.
 
so, 23rd of March, outside is 2°C and sleeting
I just turned off the TV and the silence is mind numbing - not a single car passing, nothing moving outside

from this evening between 22:00 and 6:00, the curfew is active
 
Deeply troubling for our friends in Spain...

blog_covid19_country_comparison_march_21_deaths.gif


For comparison:
Netherlands: Day 14, 10.5 deaths/ million.
Belgium: Day 20, 6.5 deaths /million
 
This is not the approach I would take..

The Justice Department has quietly asked Congress for the ability to ask chief judges to detain people indefinitely without trial during emergencies — part of a push for new powers that comes as the novel coronavirus spreads throughout the United States.
 
Back in 1918, the 'Spanish' flu epidemic killed an estimated 17m to 50m people worldwide by the time it had run it's course in 1920, that's around a quarter of the world's population at that time and more than the total deaths of all the major wars of that era combined (WW1, WW2 and the Korean war)

Jist is vaguely correct but your proportions are off. The world population c1920 was ~1.9 billion. Roughly quarter of the worlds population was infected in the H1N1 pandemic, and about a tenth of those infected died. Total fatalities were comparable with WWI.

This is not the approach I would take..

Doesn't seem to be very popular with Congress in general, and I'm not particularly worried about them allowing anything like this, yet.
 
Ah jeez, that's some bad news right there. Something is starting to make me wonder if we don't even have the proper language to identify all the common denominators and underlying causes.


Absolutely. There are so many possibilities regarding mutation and unknown exacerbating actions/context, I really hope we can get the 'spring break mentality' out of our collective skulls now.
 
Its not actually SARS, though (right?). COVID is more like a bad cold in most cases, but the more severe symptoms (experienced by the elderly and people with weakened immune systems) can induce the effects of SARS and Pneumonia.
Yes, it is SARS. They share the same genetic ancestor (core structure). Fortunately there were only 8,098 cases of the previous iteration of SARS that made headlines back in the early 2000s, because its mortality rate was a brutally high 15%. When they say "novel" coronavirus, it just means it's a new form of something we've already dealt with. That said, even a 3% mortality rate is markedly higher than that of our standard cold and flu strains, which combined kill only about 1 in every 1,000 people who pick them up.
 
For more than 95% of the confirmed positive, the pandemic itself will be of little to no consequence
If the economies will collapse, there is a chance that hundreds of millions will suffer fates that might be worse than dying of pneumonia on a hospital bed
But let's hope we dont get there, Covid-19 alone is worse enough

Unfortunately it is to be feared that economies will take some time to cure the disease too.
 
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