When people don’t understand a simple cause they latch on to an elaborate one.
"Mast bad. Burn mast!" isn't that elaborate though. If anything it is a reduction of reality to merely finding some local object to blame.
When people don’t understand a simple cause they latch on to an elaborate one.
While all reported stats have to be taken with a grain of salt, it is interesting to note that when comparing Europe with the USA, mortality rate seems nearly identical (~160/million). There is an odd difference in the trends though: with europe showing a sharp increase, following by a gradual reduction in daily fatalities/new cases, with the US pretty much hitting peak in early April and simply not changing since either way. A sign measures work and they are preventing a worse peak? A sign measures don't work and the fall-off isn't happening? Maybe simply a sign that they are hitting test capacity and fail to remedy that? Who knows.
It is pretty hard to work out what any of the figures mean. I think there are to many variables to make sense of it all right now.
The obvious ones are population density, measures taken and compliance to the measures taken. But (and more related to compliance) culture might have an affect. If you are in a touchy feely culture (I’m thinking Italy but absolutely no offence is intended) you are probably more likely to spread a virus than in a more standoffish culture (I’m thinking Germany). The UK is quite standoffish but we have a really high population density and were pretty slow to take measures.
I’m sure statisticians and virologists will be muddling over this for years.
"Mast bad. Burn mast!" isn't that elaborate though. If anything it is a reduction of reality to merely finding some local object to blame.
The whole 5g thing baffles me. It could be worse, people could be dunking witches but it’s the same sort of thing I reckon.
When people don’t understand a simple cause they latch on to an elaborate one.
Ok it went from 13 at the same time last year to 30 this year. Hardly world shattering news but keep the hyperbole train rolling
It's actually quite simple. When an infected patient meet a susceptible person, there is a certain probability that a new infection happens (0-100%). Therefore the number of daily new cases is a product of the probability times the number of contacts. Of you lower one to half of it, you can increase the other to twice of that, and still have the same number of new cases. When people don't follow the advices, like cough in your elbow, they (together) raise the total probability of infection (called the infection rate). Therefore, to keep the pandemic under control you will have to reduce the number of contact, through more lockdown, each time someone does something stupid. You might think your hair is starting to look horrible, but you look way better being alive than dead, and this is not the flu.I find it so exetremely frustrating how simple it is to deal with the Beast ( wash hands, dont touch face with hands, keep distance, stay at home/dont mix/mingle with people, especially do NOT spit each other in the mouth, nose and eyes ), and to what length people are willing to go to simply not accept this, cos "mah Freedom" or "Beer !" or "SPORTS !" . And haircuts .
Makes me wanna yell on occasion .
It's actually quite simple. When an infected patient meet a susceptible person, there is a certain probability that a new infection happens (0-100%). Therefore the number of daily new cases is a product of the probability times the number of contacts. Of you lower one to half of it, you can increase the other to twice of that, and still have the same number of new cases. When people don't follow the advices, like cough in your elbow, they (together) raise the total probability of infection (called the infection rate). Therefore, to keep the pandemic under control you will have to reduce the number of contact, through more lockdown, each time someone does something stupid. You might think your hair is starting to look horrible, but you look way better being alive than dead, and this is not the flu.
If you are in a touchy feely culture (I’m thinking Italy but absolutely no offence is intended)
I liked that to a mate and told him to look at the date it was posted which he did not. When he finally did he said he was giggling for half an hour.
This is stunning. Truly. Whatever is happening in this country can and must be duplicated - in every way financially and logistically possible - worldwide.
Just look at those daily new and active cases. Wow.
Whatever is happening in this country can and must be duplicated - in every way financially and logistically possible - worldwide.
You hear stories about 1 person infecting an entire dinner party, not to mention theplaguecruise ship incidents (10% of all cases in Australia are linked to 1 ship). I dunno why anyone wants to take chances with this virus.