Dr. M. Richards, in charge of Institutions warning locals that we are 3 weeks away from full occupancy. Using linear projections during exponential spread.Given that current rate, with all things being equal, at a rate of 100 cases a day, the beds can actually be diminished or be utilised within three weeks to a month."

But that's just within the Covid assigned parallel system. Spillover into the public service would then occur, but they're not set up to stop respiratory crossinfection. It's also running at 90-99% as it is now, with normal work. After that, we have a small bed reserve in the Private sector, about a fifth the size of the public regular sector, which would be overrun in 2-3 days.
I'll have access to the quarters above the ER, with it's built in O2 lines. Till overspill fills it.
At that point, we're India. Complete saturation. No oxygen. Well, no medical oxygen, we do have industrial gases that could be repurposed.
Estimated time to the apocalypse is wild guess 3-4 weeks, if we cannot stop the spike. We did before, though.

Just for fun, here's the most popular comment cut from the local press:
Well, if the Government continues its policy of begging and pleading with citizens to stop spreading the virus instead of detaining, flogging and isolating those who flout the public health regulations, we can look forward to the collapse of the public health care system in three weeks.
Just so you folks understand what a gentle moderate I am. ( If only they knew the real timeline, these calls might already be replaced by citizen actions.)
The laws regarding flogging are on the books, they are in use, and date back to piracy days. We only recently took out the cat'o nine tails because prisoners used to die from the process. But nobody will be going through a trial for legal punishment; the application is likely to be completely extrajudicial.
I did tell you, things are a bit different here.