It might be time for the dreaded T talk.
Turmoil.
It looks like we will definitely "win" 10 Kappa Pegasi. This will lose us 76cc per week, or make us fortify nearly 1.5 more systems.
Right now Galnet projects us to get -44 next cycle. That includes the -76, so if we did end on -44, we would fail our expansion and have around 30cc, and not hit Turmoil.
Right now it looks like we will fortify Comanga, Ngbato and Jormor, plus 34 pegasi. This will ensure we don't hit Turmoil, and we will "win" 10 Kappa Pegasi.
I think its in our interests to try to stop all our fortification, in the hopes we hit Turmoil.
If we hit Turmoil harder, it doesn't really matter, we can always attempt to fortify out of it next cycle.
If you need to grind some merits, prepare Yuror instead of fortifying.