Ok everyone, in order to lay this topic to rest, i took out my crystal ball, read the tarots, and cross checked against the tea leaves.
This is what they tell me:
FD will slightly lower the transfer times, but i think, if that small bit of tea leaf on the left is telling me what i think it is, that the times for long distances will remain very high. Costs will be adjusted significantly though, especially over longer distances.
In terms of players, the following will happen.
1 person will stop playing ED in incandencent rage over not getting what they wanted.
The rest of the 30% will continue playing. 1% will never ever use the ship transfer feature on principle, even when it would benefit them to do it. 19% will use it, but never admit to it, or grudgingly admit they did it, but only because it was an edge case and didn't count, and its still useless based on their case study of flying everywhere in a 60LY Anaconda (which they may not even own, but its the principle damnit!). The other 10% will use it, because, well, you know, its actually useful. Some won't advertise they are doing so though, but some will publicly say "Gosh, i was wrong, this ship transfer feature is actually damn useful! I can do other things while waiting for my ships to arrive".
There is some room for error of course. I mean, i'm sure the Death card shouldn't be coming up so often!