We have just under a hundred days here for the same scenario to play out.
Things always get more extreme as instability increases, and in democracies, that is always tied to pre election periods.
I thought we had a shot at an economic restart up till this week. Epidemiology guys say they cannot source the cases back to the origin, same as the US in Feb.
That is Game Over for "containment". Now on to trying to put out fires.
Globally case counts have doubled in the last 6 weeks to ~6 million active cases. There are 22 weeks left for the curse that is 2020. 22/6= about 4.
Double 6, 4 times:
12, 24, 48, 96
Crudely, we may see about 50 - 100 million or so active cases globally by New Years Day projecting at current rates. But the areas open for expansion are Latin America, Africa, and India. With decreased infrastructure, resources, communications and money. So no stretch to assume spread will be worse than now.
In the developed world, hospitals are pretty full at 6 million.
Forget getting into any hospitals by then. Have your heart attacks now please.