Some things have been percolating in my head the last few weeks. They're not fully formed ideas, but I thought they might spark someone else's imagination and lead to a breakthrough. I also haven't been able to keep up with the thread the last week or so because of the lack of reliable internet in my new apartment. So apologies in advance if I'm rehashing something that's been mentioned recently.
So, I've been thinking about the barnacles and population counts. I'm not a biologist (too squishy and complicated for my tastes), but I know that in biology one has to estimate an overall population of a species by sampling. What I mean is that you can't count every earthworm in the dirt by hand. What you can do is count every worm (or other anipal) in a cubic meter of dirt and extrapolate that number out to an entire field, forest, or region. Thinking in that vein it seems to me that there must be a lot of barnacles and I mean a lot. If you look at the ever-helpful
barnacle list and look at the number of barnacles found on each planet and the variations in planet characteristics that you should be able to find barnacles on almost any non-icy landable planet. If you include the most recent barnacle "discovery" that was given to us by GalNet, it really blows any narrow conditions for barnacle habitat out of the water (at least in terms of gravity). My kooky theory, based on a little real world biology, is that there are way more barnacles in regions around nebulae than we've found. My guess is that there are around 2-3 barnacles on every non-icy landable planet near any nebula (2 being the median number of barnacles found per planet to date, and 2.9 being the average number).
"But Runcible," I hear you saying, "if they're so common, why haven't we found them?"
Well, common is not the same thing as easy-to-find. In my experience even when you know exactly where a barnacle is on a planet's surface they can still be hard to find. I've spent 20-30 minutes searching an area for a barnacle even with the exact long. and lat. to four decimal places written down. This brings me to the second part of what I've been thinking about. It seems like barnacles
should be common (2+ per planet on most planets) and I wonder if the Frontier team thought that meant we'd be finding them all over the place. Then, when put in the wild they are surprised that we find so few of them. What to do? They can't change the barnacle generation algorithm because that might make existing barnacles disappear or move. So they want to give us some mechanism to more easily narrow down barnacle locations. What is this thing? It's the Unknown Probe. That's the out-of-game reasoning. In game we've seen that the unknown probes are carried by Federal convoys and that the Feds seems
extremely interested in the barnacles as well. The UP convoys mention "orbital testing" in their comms chatter. So, perhaps the Feds found, or engineered a device/organism that lets them determine if a planet has barnacles to help narrow the search. I think the image the UP transmits is of a kind of radar and that when an undiscovered barnacle is nearby it will show a "blip" in the main circle indicating the general direction you should go to find the barnacle.
What's my proof for any of this... none really. But I thought it might give some people ideas for kinds of tests to run with UPs.
(As I was typing this Dreadp1r4te on Discord has posted a possible breakthrough in the UP "purrs" that I think partially supports my theory. I'll post it here if he doesn't in the near future.)