General / Off-Topic The safest place

Status
Thread Closed: Not open for further replies.
Because 1) they are by far testing the most, so they care catching a lot of 'mild' cases that go unaccounted for (in most countries only those being hospitalized are currently being tested, which obviously biases the data towards the more severe outcomes), and 2) they have very high number of hospital and ICU beds per capital, meaning they can treat all severe cases.
I have no doubt that that is the case, but enough to drive the numbers we're seeing? More ICU beds and less intense cases of the virus? Germany is sitting at less than 200 hundred mortalities to 30k plus infections. I think the answer is much deeper than that, and it touches on a concern I raised a few days ago regarding our societies not even having the correct language to identify the underlying causes.
 
jason, with all respect...I have written several lengthy posts about that exact same thing you are asking about in the last 10 or so days . Some more, some less detailled . Please understand I do not want to reiterate all that...again .

Also, if you want to, take a look at worlometers numbers, globally, and for Germany . I STILL think Germany has done a lot if not most things right so far...AND we have many beds and excellent healthcare...but, looking at cases with an outcome, we have a rather frightenly high deathrate ( 25% EDIT : THE NUMBERS JUST CHANGED WHILE I WAS TYPING THIS . 15% is still high ) . So, while some aspects of our numbers do look good, I wold not exactly say they they are giving me hope...rather, I dread what is going to happen to other Nations .

As a comparison : For all I know, Germany effectively locked down the first known cluster ( first confirmed case in Germany at company Webasto 28th Jan. ) . As of the moment of CONTACT of a person in nation with a confirmed case, testing, surveillance, tracing, isolation, quarantine began.

The US had 4 confirmed cases in country before the travel restrictions which were touted as "travel ban" were put in place . And its still debaed whether any testing should be done, at all .

Please, please bro, do not take this as AntiAmerican . I am really just trying to inform you .
Can't even have a constructive conversation? Big surprise. Even directly praising your country and talking positively doesn't soften your tone, or your rhetoric.

Let's look at this way; Germany is sitting pretty high on the list for transmissions, so can't claim to have done anything special regarding the spread of the virus. And you don't have 30k ICU beds (do you?), so there's more going on.

And yes, the travel restrictions that were put in place in America were helpful, but not enough. Too bad all the people on the left side of the spectrum denigrated, howled and screamed at the leadership who moved to put the restrictions in place as being "draconian" and "anti-Chinese" or we might have seen more effective restrictions directly following. This is what makes the argument in my country so disgusting, that side of the equation not joining forces and actually working to fix things. Like the stimulus package that has blocked in order for some to dust off old bills that have nothing to do with the pandemic and add them to the bill, along with a huge dose of "Hehe, this is our big chance to nationalize big businesses!!!"
 
Last edited:
We have a new talking point in the national media, that 'you cannot compare our data with other countries'. Always a great sign when they say that. No sir, not worrying at all. I'll just close my eyes now.

When they say things like that, then you know it's bad!
 
I fully understood your "No one can tell me what to do" attitude. What you don't seem to understand is that attitudes like that are what lead to the debacles we saw over the weekend in the UK.

Shrugs
AGAIN ... usual fare for this forum ... it's always "No I AM RIGHT and you are wrong".

I'll tell you my attitude, as you obviously have no idea. I am not afraid of this virus. I'm not even afraid of this virus for other people. I AM AFRAID though of the damage that's been done by those who panicked and bought as much as they could, prompting others to do the same. I am afraid of the situation we are currently in where it's a never-ending cycle of panicking, and the media isn't helping matters because fear and scaremongering sells papers and website clicks. I am afraid of the consequences of all this, and that NO-ONE seems to be talking about what happens AFTER we beat this virus (because we will beat it) because now, there is a world-wide recession coming, but all anyone can focus on right now is "HOW DARE YOU GET WITHIN FIVE FEET OF ME!!!!!!!!!!" .....

That's my attitude.

EDIT: Also, last night I spent the night working in a supermaket stocking shelves, so I have a little insight into what's happening.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
We have a new talking point in the national media, that 'you cannot compare our data with other countries'. Always a great sign when they say that. No sir, not worrying at all. I'll just close my eyes now.

 
I have no doubt that that is the case, but enough to drive the numbers we're seeing? More ICU beds and less intense cases of the virus?

Well, the first bit would imply that they are actually not as far 'into the curve' as you'd intuitively think based on the number of known cases. Check the 'total deaths' graph and switch to log. That curve isn't flatter than that other nations around it, it just started later. It is too soon to know for sure, but based on that graph I wouldn't be too optimistic just yet. :/
 
Well, the first bit would imply that they are actually not as far 'into the curve' as you'd intuitively think based on the number of known cases. Check the 'total deaths' graph and switch to log. That curve isn't flatter than that other nations around it, it just started later. It is too soon to know for sure, but based on that graph I wouldn't be too optimistic just yet. :/
Gotta go to work so I'll just say this and be out until later: we need to look at the overall health from the ground up of the various countries. I haven't time to dig up statistics, but I'm going to go out on a limb and say Germans are healthier overall as a population, probably in any way a direct comparison can be made.
 
AGAIN ... usual fare for this forum ... it's always "No I AM RIGHT and you are wrong".

I'll tell you my attitude, as you obviously have no idea. I am not afraid of this virus. I'm not even afraid of this virus for other people. I AM AFRAID though of the damage that's been done by those who panicked and bought as much as they could, prompting others to do the same. I am afraid of the situation we are currently in where it's a never-ending cycle of panicking, and the media isn't helping matters because fear and scaremongering sells papers and website clicks. I am afraid of the consequences of all this, and that NO-ONE seems to be talking about what happens AFTER we beat this virus (because we will beat it) because now, there is a world-wide recession coming, but all anyone can focus on right now is "HOW DARE YOU GET WITHIN FIVE FEET OF ME!!!!!!!!!!" ..... you are all idiots.

That's my attitude.

EDIT: Also, last night I spent the night working in a supermaket stocking shelves, so I have a little insight into what's happening.

I am also a shop worker, and I can tell you that people are not taking this seriously at all, and it WILL cost lives. As for a recession, if we keep doing business in a way which is balanced on a knife edge all the time, then it's par the course.
 
As I said, usual attitudes on this forum ... YOU don't get it .... we WILL beat this virus, it's not even a question.

One Problem we face is : we are not entirely sure how, and when . And how many people it will have killed by then . Anyone who bases their strategy on dealing with this Beast on "we will find a cure/we will find a Vaccine" is not only gambling with human lives, but already causing people to die . We CAN NOT base our strategie(s) on some very_probable_ event in the not_so_clear_future .

Also, to have any hope of "rebuilding economy and society", we really need to make sure that not too many of our Doctors, nurses, first responders and people in general die, or get taken out of the # of active people at once, for too long .
 
Last edited:
Because 1) they are by far testing the most, so they care catching a lot of 'mild' cases that go unaccounted for (in most countries only those being hospitalized are currently being tested, which obviously biases the data towards the more severe outcomes), and 2) they have very high number of hospital and ICU beds per capital, meaning they can treat all severe cases.

This ^^^

There are far more infected people than the official confirmed numbers (only the tested can be officially confirmed). There are probably large unnacounted numbers of people that only develop mild symptoms (or none at all) and will never know they got the virus (but are still carriers).
 
This ^^^

There are far more infected people than the official confirmed numbers (only the tested can be officially confirmed). There are probably large unnacounted numbers of people that only develop mild symptoms (or none at all) and will never know they got the virus (but are still carriers).

Still carriers, and still spreading the virus to those most at risk. I'd say this is even more alarming than the actual confirmed figures.
 
The difference is that PPE is vastly easier to produce domestically than a Philips' respirator, which is a rather complex device that requires piles of resources, materials and components that neither the US nor EU can produce within their own borders. Nobody has all the pieces, we all have a few. You either cooperate or nobody gets anything.
Chalk up another win for globalism. By selling expertise, knowledge and the manufacturing base to the lowest bidder no country is now capable of true self-sufficiency. 🥳
 
The REAL numbers kicker atmo, the one to look at, is the ratio of recovered vs. dead of the cases with an outcome . But then again, the meaningfullness of these numbers is heavily dependent on the # and protocol of testing done .
 
Status
Thread Closed: Not open for further replies.
Back
Top Bottom