You're splitting hairs here. EDO is part of Elite Dangerous since it won't run without the base game installed. But since it matters to you, I'll use "EDO" for the Odyssey expansion and "Elite" for the entire franchise. Does that work for you?
Not at all splitting hairs. Horizons is an expansion for Elite that now forms part of the base game, it won't get any more updates bar fixes, all further development is focused on Odyssey and what comes after that, just as it was for Horizons. So just because an expansion doesn't get any further development (ie; Horizons) barring what was initially planned which precluded ship interiors, full atmospheric landing etc., it doesn't mean that these features aren't planned for Elite, otherwise we wouldn't have space-legs. That is not splitting hairs at all.
Read the financial reports. They clearly show that EDO sales have been far below expectations and that this has been the case since it was released. Nothing they have done has improved things.
I understand the financial aspect, I'm not promoting that Odyssey is a raging financial success, there are more metrics to it than that.
As it happens, I run a company with currently 400+ employees. That gives me some insight into what a company that size will do in a given situation. And my experience as software developer and entrepreneur allows me to recognize a failed software project when I see one.
That's great, but unless you are privy to the internals of Frontier, it still doesn't add up to more than speculation. I guess it's safe to assume your company is in software development, is it in the games sector?
First, you have me confused with another poster you have been replying to. I have never mentioned Star Citizen or space legs at all. Second, my familiarity with Elite goes back to the Kickstarter days. I am not a newcomer to this franchise.
I just realized that, sorry, you are correct, disregard any that relates to that aspect, I fully take the words back that were based on that mistake. There's been a lot of tag-team replies on this subject in various threads, but that was my bad. I didn't see a notification of your reply so I checked back was actually about to edit it accordingly, not ninja style either.
Were you a Kickstarter backer?
Judging from your own words about the game's potential you think Elite is still in development and more expansions will be released in the future.
The question again is leading, let me state it clearly, as long as Elite is financially viable to receive further development, there will be further expansions. To state that isn't anything new or veer off of what has been historically said about Elite and its development by David Braben/Frontier.
Am I correct that your feeling is that there will be no new expansions due to the situation with Odyssey? If so, this is the part that is speculation. Your guess, informed or educated by whichever aspect is still a guess, time will tell.
I believe I stated it plainly enough but here it is again. I'm asking you to make a business case for continuing to expend resources on Elite when they are needed on other projects that stand a much better chance of making a profit for Frontier. How will Frontier make a profit by continuing the development of Elite?
As far as my understanding goes, Elite has historically has brought in a healthy profit for Frontier and it is reasonable to suggest that following the arc of development to conclusion will result in a product that will continue to generate income for many years ahead of it. It's not uncommon to see users with 1000s of hours in the game spread over years, I certainly plan to keep paying this game as long is possible. So, my opinion is that taking a short term view of a long term product life-span is what is skewing opinions here.
Though of course, that isn't to say that short-term circumstances can't threaten the long-term plan in place, Odyssey's initial release and the resulting fallout is definitely not a positive outcome, though whether this is a blip or full on doom, time will tell, though we are coming up to a year since release and the reviews are looking up. My belief is that if it can be made to work, David Braben will make it work.
To look at it another way; if Adobe released a new version of one of their products with major issues, which they have, their first option isn't to cease development of it, but to fix it and carry on. Though a competitor in that space may see it as an opportunity to capitalize upon it for their own gain. My view is that Elite is more like that, an ongoing franchise/product with continual development, rather than, say, Cyberpunk 2077 which is (afaik) a singular game/product that stands or falls on its own.
Except that I am an expert in software development and you are not. I don't need to be sitting in on Frontier board meetings to have at least some idea of what they're going to do. That's how I called consoles correctly. Knowledge of the cost of software development and some common business sense was all I needed.
Again, upper management decisions, in any industry, are based on information and intentions that neither of us are privy to, when talking about Frontier specifically. I won't disregard your opinion, but to say that automatically invalidates others isn't correct, you could be wrong, or do you think it's not possible for you to be wrong? You called the console cancellation, so did I as a possible outcome, so I guess we're 1:1 at the moment.
Braben is simply putting the best face he can on a bad situation. As CEO, that's his job. That doesn't make him a liar or Frontier evil. Saying "yeah, we're done here" won't help them cut their losses. I'd do the same thing if I were in their shoes.
I fully understand that, it's not Gerald Ratner at the helm, and Elite isn't crap, though I take issue that just because it's what you would do in this situation, which is something that isn't unique to the situation for any CEO in that position, that therefore moving forward, what you would do is also what David Braben would do. It's a false equivalency to suggest they will.
But at the same time, I don't put much stock in their commitment to Elite. I've seen plenty of press releases from companies claiming to be in it for the long haul until they suddenly weren't. There is no way forward unless they are planning a ground-up rewrite of both their engine and the game. Given the niche nature of the game and potential sales there is no business case for it. Frontier is going to have to let Elite die. I'm sure they will do it regretfully but they will do it.
Absolutely companies do an about face and use their PR to sell that. None of that is shocking or new, do I think Frontier could do the same? It's entirely possible, but the point you make about Elite being niche is an interesting one as it has always occupied the niche, it was why Frontier went the Kickstarter route in the first place as no publisher would take on such a development risk. Elite is still the leading player in this space and is the franchise that established the genre with roots that go back just shy of Mario (if you count the original DK games).
I have a side business selling Doom and Gloom. Anybody want to place an order?
There's enough in the world, it's a very saturated market at the moment, I prefer a ray of sunshine or the silver lining.
Besides, I have Irish ancestry and so I love to argue. I also have an aversion to wishful thinking and rosy scenarios.
Then you're in good company as I am half Irish, as in my mother born and raised and me spending part of my childhood growing up there. I would counter that defeatism isn't an Irish trait. As I said before, you can discount the word of David Braben as wishful thinking, and forgive me if I still take his words over yours. Though one must be careful to not attribute too much dishonesty about what he says, especially if your primary source of information is based on what you would do in that situation.
This forum has historically had plenty of both but the events of the last year has allowed reality to intrude. At least, for some people.
Again, the reality you speak of is mere conjecture, as it is for all of us to be fair, so not reality at all. Time will tell. I'm betting on red, your betting on black and that pretty much sums it up, don't you agree?
All the best.