So let's say Colonia produces 1-2 mil. For reminder of other 98-99 mil, 6.5k FCs need to arrive with 15kT.
That won't happen. Let's hope frontier come to their sense and adjust that values tomorrow
Remember, we don't need to get 100MT - Tier 2 doesn't "do" anything other than ensure that the CG lasts the full week and everyone has a chance to get some FSDs. We just need 3MT to get Tier 1 - which we're on track for, but, see below, more haulers would definitely help with it.
I am unfamiliar with the zero-supply state method. Could you give me a brief explanation please?
If a station has supply left - let's say it has 10000t, and three pilots show up and buy 100t each, then it might take a little while for the market servers to sync up but once they do the market has 9700t.
If the station has no supply left (which is basically true of everywhere in Colonia right now), the market will just show whatever it regenerates in each ten minute market recalculation cycle. Let's say that's 100t. If three pilots show up, they can
all buy that 100t, and when the servers sync up, the resulting market supply will be 0t, not -200t. So 200t extra cargo has been "created" and can be delivered to the CG. If twenty pilots showed up, they could all buy 100t and the resulting supply would still be 0t, not -1900t.
So you can get a lot more out of a market than its on-paper ability to generate supplies suggests
if lots of players are all trying to buy it up at once.
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The obvious and mostly-optimal strategy this gives is for (more or less) everyone doing the CG to park up at
Taras Shevchenko Hub in Mriya as this has by far the best 10-minute regeneration rate [1] for any of the CG cargoes. Every ten minutes they open the commodity market, buy what's there (which will be about 120t), then read a book for a bit, repeating until their hold is full. At that point they rush it across to Jaques, sell it, and rush back. Everyone doing that strategy gets an independent ~120t allocation, which potentially massively multiplies the amount of cargo we can produce locally.
The big downside of that obvious strategy is it's
really boring - if you've got a 700t hold, you'll spend an entire
hour sat on the pad requesting a cargo load every ten minutes, then a ten minute trip to Jaques and back, then another hour waiting.
...but, there is a better approach which gets more cargo and is more fun!
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Rock in Chrysus also has fairly good regeneration - about 70t per cycle. And it's only about 30 LY from Mriya.
So, what you can do is this, which - at least under the current BGS states - is I think going to be hard to beat.
- start at Mriya, load up what you find
- jump to Chrysus, load up what you find
- jump back to Mriya. It's now ten minutes later (probably slightly more unless you're a properly expert racer!) so you can get a new allocation
- jump back to Chrysus, get your new allocation there
- keep repeating this until your hold is full, then sell up at Jaques. Start over at Mriya if you want to do another run.
With the above 700t hold you'll fill it up in about 35 minutes this way (almost twice as fast),
and you'll be constantly moving and trying to shave another thirty seconds here or there off your supercruise trips, which makes it way more interesting.
[1] How we know this is a separate topic. For now let's just say that Colonia's economic research and monitoring is of necessity considerably more sophisticated than the bubble's.