So, here is a copypaste of a post i made on the SA forums in relation to a thread i started on the SC sub.
Interesting reading and comparison with older threads on the topic.
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So, some of you might have seen, i started a new thread on the SC sub.
https://www.reddit.com/r/starcitizen/comments/c17mtk
Source: https://www.reddit.com/r/starcitizen/comments/c17mtk/what_is_your_estimate_for_the_commercial_release/
I went with commercial release to (try and) avoid any ambiguity and handwaving about "what is release anyway?", but regardless, some still tried that tactic.
The hard downvoting on my comments is amusing, especually if you read them and can see i'm being super friendly and polite.
Its nice to have a thread without Tojal et. al. jumping in to call me a troll. I mean, they might be, but i can't see it, so if they are, they are ragining impotently. I'm sure they are getting upvotes for their efforts though.
What I wanted to see is how attitudes have changed, if at all.
Unfortunately, its a small sample size.
Results:
3 didn't answer the question and instead either went off on a random tangent or avoided the answer.
2 said they didn't expect CIG to do any sort of commercial release and to continue development with the pledge system
1 said 2 years*
2 said 4 years
1 said 6 years
* - in cases where people gave a range i took the upper value, since this is CIG we are talking about, its probably more realistic.
Well, we can't really do any sort of real analytics with that unfortunately, but we can compare with previous threads which one kind redditor provided links to:
This one is from 3 years ago:
https://www.reddit.com/r/starcitizen/comments/3xmqau
Source: https://www.reddit.com/r/starcitizen/comments/3xmqau/what_do_you_think_its_a_plausible_release_date/
Some comments there to put a wry smile on your face from it will be released next year to 2 years away.
One golden comment here:
I wonder if that person is now saying most games of this scope take 9-10 years
One guy broke down what he expected and when, and was badly wrong. He said 2017 for more missions for SQ42, while totally failing to mention SQ42 release... maybe he believed CR when he said that SQ42 just required a bit of polish.
Not one person guessed that it would still not be released by 2019.
Next thread from 5 years ago (so much optimism):
https://www.reddit.com/r/starcitizen/comments/1zo04n
Source: https://www.reddit.com/r/starcitizen/comments/1zo04n/possible_release_for_sc/
Most upvoted comment linked this:
http://starcitizen.wikia.com/wiki/Anticipated_Release_Schedule
Which doesn't seem to be there anymore... fortunately, thanks to the wayback machine...
https://web.archive.org/web/2014112...n.wikia.com/wiki/Anticipated_Release_Schedule
Some golden moments in there about the PU...
All 50 episides of SQ42???
The last snapshot before it was wiped was in July 2017:
https://web.archive.org/web/2017071...n.wikia.com/wiki/Anticipated_Release_Schedule
At this point badly out of date.
Back to the reddit thread...
Most pessemistic prediction: 2016-2017, with several saying early or late 2016.
Oh my, such halcyon days!