Africa & India could make Italy's problems look like a walk in the park due to the special social & economic characteristics of these two Third World behemoths.
I've been thinking about that a lot... It this things spreads through central and south africa, it can be a catastrophe that makes europe's troubles look like a cakewalk.
Africa does have a few factors in their favour though, they don't have the population densities of europe, their major cities are for the most part far apart, most of their population don't travel much, they don't have nowhere near the tourism of airplane traffic as the rest of the world, and they most likely have better immune systems due to much lower meds usage and being used to living in much harsher conditions.