Thargoid invasion - Next target systems?

Phill P

Phill P
Aleks Zuno said:
There was a recent mention of Alert systems perhaps having increased strength, but not confirmed.
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Confirmed for unpopulated Alerts. Col 285 Sector BA-P c6-16 at 21.6Ly took 312, Col 285 Sector JW-M c7-10 at 17.37Ly took 792, Hyades Sector EB-N b7-0 at 14.38 ly took 1600.

We think 30Ly is nearer 300, 20ly is now 400 and 15ly is now 1000. That' an unquestionable increase since before the change 25ly was only 267.
 
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Starsong

Starsong
It would certainly explain why the Alerts last week took until Wednesday to clear, rather than sooner as the cycle before that was.
 

Ian Doncaster

Ian Doncaster
Starsong said:
It would certainly explain why the Alerts last week took until Wednesday to clear, rather than sooner as the cycle before that was.
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True, though there were also just more of them - last week was 17 Inhabited (the highest since mid July) + 19 Uninhabited = 38 (the highest since early June)
 

Phill P

Phill P
Ian Doncaster said:
True, though there were also just more of them - last week was 17 Inhabited (the highest since mid July) + 19 Uninhabited = 38 (the highest since early June)
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That wouldn't have mattered if the targets hadn't been raised as well. In fact the more uninhabited, and especially between 20-30ly, the better, as they only took 250-300 each, 3 runs in a sample ship, one run with 3 of us on a signal, so doing 25 wasn't much more work than doing 20.
 

Aleks Zuno

Aleks Zuno
Victories in Hyades Sectors EB-N b7-0 and PN-T c3-7, and Col 285 Sectors KW-M c7-16 and OR-B b14-4! Probably one more group of passengers would complete HIP 20485, and we have excellent progress at HR 2204. That need only continue as it is, let alone see an increase as is usual for a weekend, and we will be able to assure its completion!

Alerts at 06:50 19th August 3309:
HIP 20485 Alert 98% — Indra 21 Ly, 27 Ls starport, 677 Ls outpost, 27 Ls planet
HR 1403 Alert 38% *39.6% — Indra 25 Ly, 194 Ls starport, 194 Ls planet
HIP 20056 Alert 24% *25% — Indra 24 Ly, 2488 Ls outpost, 182 Ls planet
Vogulu Alert 22% *22.1% — Hadad 21 Ly, 336 Ls starport, 471 Ls outpost, 35k Ls planet
Gliese 9035 Alert 20% — Oya 20 Ly, 556 Ls planet
29 e Orionis Alert 18% *18.4% — Taranis 22 Ly, 9998 Ls planet

Evictions:
HR 2204 Control 24% — Hadad 15 Ly, 11k strength
HIP 21946 Control 4% *4.5% — Indra 24 Ly, 1995 strength

Clean-up:
Cephei Sector FB-X b1-1 Alert 88% *88.1% — Oya 20 Ly, empty
Col 285 Sector GP-H b10-3 Control 28% *28.5% — Thor 36 Ly, empty, 218 strength
Hyades Sector KH-L b8-0 Alert 16% *17.8% — Taranis 23 Ly, empty


Phill P said:
Confirmed for unpopulated Alerts. Col 285 Sector BA-P c6-16 at 21.6Ly took 312, Col 285 Sector JW-M c7-10 at 17.37Ly took 792, Hyades Sector EB-N b7-0 at 14.38 ly took 1600.
We think 30Ly is nearer 300, 20ly is now 400 and 15ly is now 1000. That' an unquestionable increase since before the change 25ly was only 267.
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Thank you! That now matches Control systems on the far end beyond 30 Ly, though it is at least still much, much lower than Control further in.


Ned Flandalorian said:
If sampling was really meant to be the intended way to win the war, the rescue ships would have had their economies fixed to pay a decent amount of money for them instead of offering a pittance.
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Research samples are one intended way to win though, and Rescue megaships pay said pittance despite that:

Vogulu.png
 

Aleks Zuno

Aleks Zuno
Victories in HIPs 20485 and 23593, HR 1403, Cephei Sector FB-X b1-1, Col 285 Sector GP-H b10-3, Hyades Sectors KH-L b8-0 and EG-N b7-0, and Pegasi Sectors RE-N a8-4 and NY-O a7-3!

Alerts at 07:40 20th August 3309:
Vogulu Alert 60% *61.6% — Hadad 21 Ly, 336 Ls starport, 471 Ls outpost, 35k Ls planet
HIP 20056 Alert 50% — Indra 24 Ly, 2488 Ls outpost, 182 Ls planet
Gliese 9035 Alert 48% *48.2% — Oya 20 Ly, 556 Ls planet
29 e Orionis Alert 36% — Taranis 22 Ly, 9998 Ls planet
HIP 20948 Alert 32% — Indra 24 Ly, 56k Ls planet
Bi Dhorora Alert 28% — Hadad 18 Ly, 2734 Ls outpost

Evictions:
HR 2204 Control 26% *26.4% — Hadad 15 Ly, 10.7k strength
HIP 22496 Control 10% *11.8% — Indra 22 Ly, 3113 strength
HIP 21946 Control 8% *9.5% — Indra 24 Ly, 1890 strength

Clean-up:
Pegasi Sector FW-W d1-110 Alert 96% *97.6% — Raijin 25 Ly, empty
Col 285 Sector YT-F b12-1 Alert 90% — Cocijo 24 Ly, empty
Col 285 Sector TH-C b13-3 Alert 20% — Thor 22 Ly, empty
 

Aleks Zuno

Aleks Zuno
Victories in Vogulu, Pegasi Sector FW-W d1-110, Col 285 Sectors DG-O c6-12, YT-F b12-1, WY-F b12-5, OS-T d3-105 and QX-H b11-2, Hyades Sectors LI-K b8-3, LI-K b8-2 and RO-R c4-20, Cephei Sectors DQ-Y b1 and WO-A b4, HIP 6694, 19 Puppis, Arietis Sector XJ-R b4-2 and Ceti Sector ZU-Y b1! That leaves M. Leigong with only one attack, which cannot be prevented for the moment while the Thargoid site at Arietis Sector MX-U c2-19 is present. HIP 20056 is moving gradually and likely will be done within an hour or two.

The drive at HR 2204 slowed quite suspiciously, perhaps due to many of those Commanders attending the Elite Community Meet; we pushed it up to the 33% surplus threshold to encourage contributions, and it seems to have enjoyed already a further 10% or so. We will boost it daily with completion this week in mind, such that all further activity there for the remainder of the week is very welcome!

Alerts at 07:10 21st August 3309:
HIP 20056 Alert 98% *98.6% — Indra 24 Ly, 2488 Ls outpost, 182 Ls planet
Gliese 9035 Alert 88% — Oya 20 Ly, 556 Ls planet
29 e Orionis Alert 52% *52.3% — Taranis 22 Ly, 9998 Ls planet
HIP 20948 Alert 48% *49.1% — Indra 24 Ly, 56k Ls planet
Bi Dhorora Alert 38% *38.4% — Hadad 18 Ly, 2734 Ls outpost, 1857 Ls planet
HIP 19757 Alert 38% — Indra 25 Ly, 2256 Ls planet

Evictions:
HR 2204 Control 42% *43.6% — Hadad 15 Ly, 8166 strength
HIP 22496 Control 12% *13.2% — Indra 22 Ly, 3063 strength
HIP 21946 Control 10% *10.1% — Indra 24 Ly, 1877 strength

Clean-up:
Col 285 Sector TH-C b13-3 Alert 30% — Thor 22 Ly, empty
Col 285 Sector OB-E b12-4 Alert 22% *23.2% — Thor 21 Ly, empty
HIP 8924 Control 20% — Leigong 30 Ly, empty, 249 strength
 

Aleks Zuno

Aleks Zuno
Victories in Gliese 9035, HIPs 20056 and 8924, Col 285 Sectors OB-E b12-4, KV-F b11-1 and TH-C b13-3, and Hyades Sector GB-N b7-5! Classically, the rate of Alert activity should yield four more ending at Bi Dhorora, although recently it has been around now that Operation Ida gives a few of the lower systems some quite large boosts. Very well done to those causing a bit of a fuss at HR 2204; it looks set for completion this evening, if not before!

Alerts at 06:50 22nd August 3309:
29 e Orionis Alert 76% *77.8% — Taranis 22 Ly, 9998 Ls planet
HIP 20948 Alert 70% *70.3% — Indra 24 Ly, 56k Ls planet
HIP 19757 Alert 64% *64.3% — Indra 25 Ly, 2256 Ls planet
Borderline:
Bi Dhorora Alert 54% — Hadad 18 Ly, 2734 Ls outpost, 1857 Ls planet
Trailing:
Balak Alert 48% *49.5% — Raijin 23 Ly, 9 Ls outpost, 16 Ls planet
Vucumatha Alert 44% *44.2% — Cocijo 23 Ly, 13k Ls outpost

Eviction:
HR 2204 Control 80% — Hadad 15 Ly, 2900 strength

Clean-up:
HIP 21099 Control 24% *25.2% — Indra 27 Ly, empty, 306 strength
 

Aleks Zuno

Aleks Zuno
Victories in 29 e Orionis, Col 285 Sectors ZT-F b12-7, ZT-F b12-6, ZT-F b12-8 and FB-E b12-1, HR 2204, Pegasi Sectors TK-L a9-3 and RE-N a8-0, HIPs 20948, 19757, 21099, 7338, 10168 and 10414, Vucumatha and Arietis Sector JR-V b2-1!

Very well done both with the delivery for HIP 7338 and to those pilots at HR 2204; our boost-deliveries for the latter accounted for around 30% in the end, meaning presumably that a good 10000 strength was met via combat with a gap over the weekend and a day to spare. I presume everyone has moved to Montioch given its ~9% activity; unfortunately at almost 30000 total strength that will need a joint operation with early harvesting to support it!

Meanwhile, note that HIP 20616 has reached the surplus threshold; it should be likely to enjoy ongoing activity next week if not adopted and finished this evening.

Alerts at 07:50 23rd August 3309, Wednesday caution:
Balak Alert 86% — Raijin 23 Ly, 9 Ls outpost, 16 Ls planet
Bi Dhorora Alert 74% *74.9% — Hadad 18 Ly, 2734 Ls outpost, 1857 Ls planet

Eviction:
HIP 20616 Control 36% *36.3% — Indra 22 Ly, 2095 strength
 

Grimscrub

Grimscrub
samples secured for 20616, with a little excess... Barring surprises will likely be working in indra for the coming week, see if things can be pushed a little.
 

Aleks Zuno

Aleks Zuno
Victories in Synuefe OU-D b45-1 and OU-D b45-3, Balak, Bi Dhorora, Pegasi Sectors OE-N a8-1 and OI-S b4-8, Col 285 Sectors OM-J b10-1, AU-F b12-2, AU-F b12-3, AU-F b12-4, DA-E b13-8 and PS-T d3-152, and HIP 20616 (thank you @Grimscrub)! At just prior to the end of the week, that becomes seventy-one systems; approximately, this has now halved the spread of Thargoid presence since its peak some months ago.

Well done again to all at HR 2204 earlier; even without much communication here, I am quite happy that a few modest deliveries kept the main drive going well. I can see that most moved over to Montioch and perhaps a few to HIP 30502; despite its high strength, I can say that if 10–11% in one day at Montioch can be duplicated across a full week, that is a brilliant achievement and indeed makes Montioch suitable for supporting for a completion! Narrowly, it would also replace Omumba as the new strongest recapture.
 

Aleks Zuno

Aleks Zuno

Week 39, 24th August 3309​

Report
Thirty-five Alerts repelled at HIPs 21654, 23716, 20019, 3006, 20492, 112595 and 116360, Col 285 Sectors SS-H b11-4, SS-H b11-5, EA-Q c5-8, ZE-P c6-16, ZE-P c6-10, ZE-P c6-15, OC-V d2-96, NG-E b12-3, NG-E b12-4, SH-B b14-5, SM-C b13-0, RM-B b14-2, VS-Z b14-0 and KW-M c7-12, Arietis Sectors JR-V b2-2 and ZP-P b5-1, Trianguli Sector CA-A c14, Cephei Sectors AV-Y b6, AV-Y b0 and AF-A c21, Pegasi Sector OI-S b4-4, Njorog, 65 Kappa Tauri, Luggerates, Muruidooges, Holvandalla, Ebisu and Vistnero.
Forty-six Control evictions at Synuefe OU-D b45-0, Col 285 Sectors OM-J b10-0, SW-D b12-2, AF-P c6-2, US-H b11-1, US-H b11-6, KM-V d2-51, XI-H b11-2, XI-H b11-5, ZE-P c6-7, AF-P c6-0, AF-P c6-1, AF-P c6-17 and YY-F b12-0, 80 Tauri, 78 Theta-2 Tauri, 55 Tauri, HIPs 112219, 9709, 20146, 6570, 6572, 39750, 21008, 21946, 20605, 20815 and 20712, 77 Theta-1 Tauri, Arietis Sectors MX-U c2-17 and JR-V b2-3, Hyades Sectors KX-U d2-94, NT-I b9-0, NT-I b9-1, LY-I b9-4, LY-I b9-5 and OT-I b9-1, 58 Tauri, Trianguli Sector CA-A c15, Patollu, Pegasi Sectors JH-U b3-9, LC-U b3-2 and JC-U b3-6, 92 Sigma-2 Tauri, Hyadum II and 70 Tauri.
Three recaptured systems starting Recovery are Patollu, HIP 21946 and 70 Tauri.
Maelstrom Leigong loses one attack.

Targets updated at 06:30 31st August 3309
HIP 30502 Control 56% *57% — Hadad 14 Ly, 9095 strength
HIP 25679 Alert 44% *44.7% — Taranis 17 Ly, 108 Ls outpost, 1960 Ls planet
Kurumanit Control 36% *36.6% — Cocijo 20 Ly, 2843 strength
Col 285 Sector WY-F b12-1 Control 34% *34.6% — Cocijo 21 Ly, 2684 strength
Arietis Sector LM-V b2-4 Control 28% — Indra 27 Ly, empty, 299 strength
Montioch Control 18% *18.9% — Hadad 13 Ly, 24.2k strength
Tougeir Control 14% *14.6% — Oya 16 Ly, 11k strength
HIP 21261 Control 10% — Indra 20 Ly, 4034 strength
HIP 22496 Control 4% *4.1% — Indra 22 Ly, 3387 strength
Iduni Control 4% — Raijin 22 Ly, 3238 strength
HIP 113076 Control 2% *2.2% — Raijin 24 Ly, 1878 strength
HIP 8525 Control 2% — Oya 18 Ly, 8970 strength

Notes
The Alert report lists predicted attackers which can be stopped this cycle.

Week 38, 17th August 3309​

Report
Thirty-two Alerts repelled at Pegasi Sectors VK-L a9-2, RE-N a8-4, NY-O a7-3 and FW-W d1-110, Col 285 Sectors JW-M c7-10, BA-P c6-16, KW-M c7-16, OR-B b14-4, OS-T d3-105, YT-F b12-1, WY-F b12-5, OB-E b12-4 and TH-C b13-3, Arietis Sector FG-Y d66, Hyades Sectors EB-N b7-0, PN-T c3-7 and KH-L b8-0, HIPs 23593, 20485, 20056, 20948 and 19757, HR 1403, Cephei Sectors FB-X b1-1, WO-A b4 and DQ-Y b1, Vogulu, Gliese 9035, 29 e Orionis, Vucumatha, Balak and Bi Dhorora.
Thirty-nine Control evictions at Col 285 Sectors OS-T d3-68, GP-H b10-2, GP-H b10-3, DG-O c6-12, QX-H b11-2, KV-F b11-1, ZT-F b12-7, ZT-F b12-6, ZT-F b12-8, FB-E b12-1, OM-J b10-1, AU-F b12-2, AU-F b12-3, AU-F b12-4, DA-E b13-8 and PS-T d3-152, Hyades Sectors EG-N b7-0, LI-K b8-3, LI-K b8-2, RO-R c4-20 and GB-N b7-5, Ceti Sector ZU-Y b1, HIPs 6694, 8924, 21099, 7338, 10168, 10414 and 20616, 19 Puppis, Arietis Sectors XJ-R b4-2 and JR-V b2-1, HR 2204, Pegasi Sectors TK-L a9-3, RE-N a8-0, OE-N a8-1 and OI-S b4-8, and Synuefe OU-D b45-1 and OU-D b45-3.
Three recaptured systems starting Recovery are HR 2204 and HIPs 7338 and 20616.
Maelstrom Leigong loses four attacks.
 
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Aleks Zuno

Aleks Zuno

System strength statement​

310 units delivered for Col 285 Sector OM-J b10-0 has completed it versus an estimated 308.3; it should be fine to proceed with any deliveries. The actual progress became 100.9049%, yielding a projected strength of 307.2, such that Control system strengths appear to be unchanged.

Additionally, 410 units delivered for HIP 9709 became 13.6673% with projected strength 2999.9 as before.

Operation Redacted​

Everything is as expected thus far; HIP 9016 seems to be enjoying the usual respite interval, and HIP 9709 is due for eviction. Timeline:

​
HIP 9016​
HIP 9709​
Arietis Sector BQ-P b5-0​
Week 37​
Evicted​
Control​
Control​
Week 38Respite 1ControlControl
Week 39​
Respite 2​
Evict​
Control​
Week 40​
Respite 3?​
Respite 1​
Evict​
Week 41​
Respite 4?​
Respite 2​
Respite 1​
Week 42​
Alert?​
Respite 3​
Respite 2​
 

Kira Goto

Kira Goto
Njorog under alert… that one ought to be interesting to observe. I guess both for alert difficulty at that distance and if it makes it to the invasion stage.
 

Phill P

Phill P
Kira Goto said:
Njorog under alert… that one ought to be interesting to observe. I guess both for alert difficulty at that distance and if it makes it to the invasion stage.
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Whether it gets cleared at the Alert stage or not, it will keep getting put into Alert every two weeks because the Control causing it cannot be cleared.
 
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