Thargoid invasion - Next target systems?

So how far in is the plan of pushing Oya’s controls going to go anyway? In terms of the distance. Just because I’m curious.

(And that is of course going to be quite important for its damage resistance, with however many controls that leaves the Titan with when it is done.)
 
Little Update: 184 samples stored on [SNPX] ISS Nadira (HIP 8525).

So how far in is the plan of pushing Oya’s controls going to go anyway? In terms of the distance. Just because I’m curious.

(And that is of course going to be quite important for its damage resistance, with however many controls that leaves the Titan with when it is done.)

If I had a wish:
We get 10 system back this cycle and do the same next cycle (which won't be easy...). In the next cycle we would loose the spire site in Lyncis Sector WU-P b5-0, but we will still have the one in Cephei Sector XO-A b3.

Before attacking the Titan with its remaining 7 controls we should attack the spire to get 85% in the remaining systems, maybe Baiabozo and Cephei Sector AF-A c11 be cleared completely (maybe Inara, too) and then blast the Titan away. With doing that we will have the remaining 4-5 controls with an 85% progress, so it will be doable to clear these with an acceptable effort.
 
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Greetings, quick status update for Cephei Sector AV-Y b3. I believe the strength to be about 8334 samples with the 15% number being 1250. Caveat being I’m new to estimating using the journal but feel fairly confident it’s pretty close. Orion’s Ascension’s demand was originally set at 1500. Currently have 824 samples on board. o7

Welcome, thank you, and added to the inventory!

8334 looks believable; just in case, for a Payload amount and for Prior and Posterior journal measurements, I calculate the extrema like this:
  • The maximum is Payload / (Posterior − Prior − 0.000001)
  • The minimum is Payload / (Posterior − Prior + 0.000001)
Those difference modifications are seldom needed after the finer journal measurements were available; they become a quite large 0.02 when using the Galaxy map of course, where it matters very much, and indeed the 0.000001 matters when using a small payload to measure a strong system around 5 Ly. The idea is that—for example—an apparent 0.1 change could have been as low as 0.099999 if the Prior was on the cusp of increasing by one quantum, or could have been as much as 0.100001 if the Posterior was on a similar cusp.

The trouble with estimating Cephei Sector AV-Y b3 directly is that the ongoing siege will cause a higher measurement and thus a lower strength than expected—perhaps unless one also measures the change at another strong peripheral system and subtracts that background difference. In any case, I am making it a goal today to measure the 10–15 Ly empty Control junctions in a quieter environment!


Before attacking the Titan with its remaining 7 controls we should attack the spire to get 85% in the remaining systems, maybe Baiabozo and Cephei Sector AF-A c11 be cleared completely (maybe Inara, too) and then blast the Titan away. With doing that we will have the remaining 4-5 controls with an 85% progress, so it will be doable to clear these with an acceptable effort.

If it helps to know:
  • Clearing the periphery this week 69 will also leave M. Oya with no attacks in week 70 even if we stopped.
  • After clearing the week 70 periphery to leave seven systems, it will become week 73 before M. Oya gets a single attack from Cephei Sector AF-A c11—I think against Ardhri, our clearance target this week! Being populated though, it will not matter for Titan purposes for several weeks.
  • Finally in week 74 M. Oya would attack some empty systems, becoming Alerts in week 75 and contributing eventually to Titan resistance in week 76.
With so much time available—yes, it would be a lovely idea to rally any Commanders you can to help leave behind some almost-complete systems! Many will just want to attack the Titan, and many will arrive just to attack the Titan, but either way there will be plenty of time to do both.

Two possible unknown factors are:
  • If anything special happens with the Titan due to leaving a Spire site around. It appears not, but if we were to discover that Titan hearts cannot be destroyed then that will demand a storm at Cephei Sector XO-A b3 of course.
  • Whether the Spire site still provides peripheral progress after the Titan explodes—in which case, it could be as well to enjoy the Titan assault then revisit the Spire site later.
Even in the latter case, it is quite fine to call for a continued Spire siege while everyone equipped to do so is still in the region. You have many options and much time!
 
So I’ve been banging away at station rescues and despite a very nice 2 billion bump to my bank balance I’ve still no idea how it helps the war effort. Infact reading this thread Ive realised being so late to the party I have absolutely no idea on how any of this works. Has a commander done a post on exactly what the dynamics of the war are? Obviously destroying thargoid ships during an invasion to stop it is easy to understand but all the rest, Titan influence/purpose and spire sites baffles me at the moment so anything I can read up on explaining the ‘rules’ would be great.
 
So I’ve been banging away at station rescues and despite a very nice 2 billion bump to my bank balance I’ve still no idea how it helps the war effort.

Little by little, the rescued passengers and injured pods contribute to the completion progress of the system from which they were taken, as do the successful missions themselves. As with most war activities, the actions of one Commander are quite modest—and yet our means of defending systems is exactly by Commanders doing exactly what you are doing, so thank you!


Has a commander done a post on exactly what the dynamics of the war are? Obviously destroying thargoid ships during an invasion to stop it is easy to understand but all the rest, Titan influence/purpose and spire sites baffles me at the moment so anything I can read up on explaining the ‘rules’ would be great.

There are two general overviews:
  • The top of this thread has a very concise list of each type of system and which actions are helpful. One may need to ask about some specifics, but the goal there is to be a quick answer to the questions of where to go and what to do.
  • Analysing the Thargoid Simulation opens with an overview of how the war works in a wider sense, and is dedicated to optimising our strategic decisions.
For more about port rescues specifically and their role in the war, it is best by far to contact Post-Disaster Evacuation Service (PDES)!
 
Following up for @Thordeas, we have now some very fine empty Control measurements which should place Cephei Sector AV-Y b3 more accurately:

SystemDistancePriorPayloadPosteriorMinimumMaximum
Col 285 Sector KW-M c7-1314.708562 Ly02020.0260387757.67758.2
Col 285 Sector US-Z b14-310.780254 Ly02040.01130618041.918045.1

From our junction at 15 Ly with 7020, that places a junction at 10 Ly with 20110, such that the strength of Cephei Sector AV-Y b3 at 14.330843 Ly should be 8772. The 15% strength becomes 1316, and your 824 held should be worth 9.4%. With the greatest of thanks to those at the Spire sites for doing so well, the actual number was indeed a bit higher!
 
With doing that we will have the remaining 4-5 controls with an 85% progress, so it will be doable to clear these with an acceptable effort.
If that is your plan, it might be worth considering keeping the inner spire active until after the Titan is defeated - providing that doesn’t result in its immediate shutdown - because it will return those innermost controls back to ~52% on the weekly tick where it might become vulnerable enough to attack feasibly(if 7 controls isn’t good enough now, unlike with Taranis, as Frontier hinted - I suppose time will tell).

Unless that is your idea and I’m just reading it incorrectly?
 
For Daruwach 1725 samples have been collected and rest on the carrier. 369 samples are still missing. But we´re taking a break and come back later today with hopefully a more mighty force to takle Cephei Sector AF-A c9 and HIP 13179. If Daruwach isn´t done by then we focus on that one first.
o7
 
Thank you for the updates! If I may check a few things—

For @Shayan al Nasarwa and @PapaDragon_I with SNPX:
  • Was the HIP 8525 payload finished eventually?
  • Is your carrier for HIP 13179 moving closer?
For @Medi0cr3 and @Grimscrub with XSF:
  • Has Ardhri been started?
  • Is your carrier moving closer?
This is much more so for planning as opposed to rushing anyone—I would love for both SNPX and XSF to be able to do more besieging than harvesting! For the moment, I have scheduled a jump presuming that Ardhri needs starting, in which case I will store the payload instead. If not, we can decide from there!
 
For @Shayan al Nasarwa and @PapaDragon_I with SNPX:
  • Was the HIP 8525 payload finished eventually?
  • Is your carrier for HIP 13179 moving closer?
HIP 8525 is finished; 1.409 samples collected.

Unfortunately the owner of the [SNPX] Drag Queen Anna is not at home this weekend and cannot move the carrier. But we are doing it anyway (maybe using FSD charge).
 
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For @Medi0cr3 and @Grimscrub with XSF:
  • Has Ardhri been started?
  • Is your carrier moving closer?
apologies, had been off-game most of today.
From the spreadsheet our side, reported that the carrier has the 4086 estimated for Ardhri's 15% - I'm not in the XSF discord etc. to have further specifics, appears they are running spire ops at this time from the current livestream though.

Invicta now up to 1558 from last dcoh reading, even with a target post update... ah well.
 
Following up for @Thordeas, we have now some very fine empty Control measurements which should place Cephei Sector AV-Y b3 more accurately:

SystemDistancePriorPayloadPosteriorMinimumMaximum
Col 285 Sector KW-M c7-1314.708562 Ly02020.0260387757.67758.2
Col 285 Sector US-Z b14-310.780254 Ly02040.01130618041.918045.1

From our junction at 15 Ly with 7020, that places a junction at 10 Ly with 20110, such that the strength of Cephei Sector AV-Y b3 at 14.330843 Ly should be 8772. The 15% strength becomes 1316, and your 824 held should be worth 9.4%. With the greatest of thanks to those at the Spire sites for doing so well, the actual number was indeed a bit higher!
Many Thanks for clarifying those numbers..appears I was a tad low in estimation, but will keep my demand at 1500 which should still cover a minor miss in spirework. Obviously as we get closer to the tick those things will be better known. On a side note, saw in the AXI discord that Medi0cr3 and XSF finished Ardhri. Not sure on specifics however.
 
Scheduling jump for delivery -- Received a handul of misplaced samples for 8525, so may be a microscopic bump on that front when all is turned in.

-- Delivery complete at 22:27 servertime.
 
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Okay! My Imperial spies tell me that the order for Cephei Sector AF-A c9 is also fulfilled—or CMDR Sanyarin forgot to place one, but I presume the former—thus there should be no more than 500 for Cephei Sector AV-Y b3 remaining which a quick visit can complete if needed. By all means, focus on the Spire sites!

That being the case, this week we will:
  • Finish tidying up a bit at M. Hadad.
  • Establish the 5–10 Ly empty Control strength.
  • Check that the inhabited Control strength is still valid within 10 Ly!
  • Begin collecting a payload for next week at M. Oya.
The suspicion of inhabited Control strengths is because a previous empty Control strength increase brought with it an increase only to the 5 Ly junction for inhabited Control, leaving intact everything above 10 Ly.

Additional: @Shayan al Nasarwa is clear to deliver HIP 8525!
 
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