Ok I think i got the idea how the influence and missions system works (background sim from player point of view):
First of all i was wrong about connection with Civil Unrest --> Civil War. Nope, Civil Unrest is something wrong for our faction.
What we need to do in our experiments is to keep BOOM going all the time, keep the Lockdown, Femine and Civil Unrest effects at low levels.
All missions responsible for it, are not really gaining much influence for our faction. (think about them more like a cure, then influence boosters).
But...these missions
are very important, because
they trigger other missions like Hunt for Security etc. (Ive noticed the pattern in missions available in certain point of our faction pending statuses)
These triggered missions ,very much boost our faction influence and what is even more important cause for opposite factions effects like Civil Unrests and Lockdowns.
If we will only do Hunt Security and other missions that hurt opposite factions, but also hurt us a little bit ( by Civil Unrests and Lockdowns as "side effects"), and will not do missions healthy for our boom and our people, the first ones wont be available for some time. Until we will restore good balance by decreasing negative "side effects" in our faction.
If we will keep that positive balance for our faction and increase disorder in opposite faction, we will soon exeprience big influence change and after that Civil War.
As I mentioned in my previous post - the best scenario for us is to enter Civil War with BOOM effect on our side and some negative effect active on opposite faction side.
Durring the war we need to keep the health in our faction, by doing healthy missions for them and just wait for war result.
I think this is how background simulator works atm for us, this is devs black box.
P.S.
Best action ever so far in ED:
OMG hahaha, when i was typing my thoughts I just arrived at the station (HUB type - cubic). Afcorse 6 feds was on my tail when i tried to find the exit to the station.
I was flying boost speed very close to the station walls and one of authorities eagles was on my tail trying to shoot me down, when suddenly crashed into station, started spinning like crazy, and exploaded behind me, haha.

I didnt know it was possible. "Target destroyed" ship computer informed me. I wasnt charged any fee, for killing authority.
Star Wars.
