The dukes had under pending civil war critical and law party had civil war under pending.
That's unusual, with all of the civil wars I've observed to date there has always been 2 factions with "civil war critical" indicating that civil war can occur in the next few days.
The pending state "civil war" (without the "critical") seems indicates that the state is in a cooldown phase. This applies to all states, which can be very confusing,
e.g. pending "boom" "lockdown" etc. has 2 meanings.
1) a state can occur if player actions relating to a boom continue
2) a state has recently occured and is on cooldown
There is no clear differentiation between these 2 situations, it's like the definition of the word "bow"
1) to bend or curve downward; stoop.
2) A bent, curved, or arched object.
etc.
This clearly needs to be changed to avoid confusion.
Anywho, I'm rambling a bit

This seems like a bug but without any further input from the dev team and continued confusing pending state displays it's very difficult to figure out how things work! :S
